{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ec78878-3b67-4295-abc9-afd57543ed4f", "symbol": "6666", "name": "Luo Lih-Fen Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 63.66, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.581, "architecture_energy": 17.23, "architecture_maturity": 13.278, "architecture_confidence": 69.19, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.83, "rotation_up": 34.54, "upward_expansion": 62.88, "deceleration": 81.87, "rotation_down": 25.31, "downward_expansion": 15.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.456667, 43.696363, 43.011904, 42.675269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 43.0, "trend_reference": 42.621667, "distance_from_trend": 0.008877, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.526723, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.165482, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.761311, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.027149, "excess_performance": -0.468521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.165482, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091974, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.337613, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063064, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027149, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.921599, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103100, "relative_activity": 0.649771, "balance": 1.921599, "dry_up": 1.262396, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054472, "annualized_volatility": 0.198214, "from_high_reference": -0.338462, "from_low_reference": 0.096939 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.621667, "fair_value_reference": 51.526723, "structural_low": 39.200001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.000764, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040162, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.244553, "worst_return": -0.119289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068368, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.049007, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.352377, "worst_return": -0.273096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.110567, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.171637, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.549751, "worst_return": -0.204987, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 44.75, "volume": 109020, "typical_volume": 139357.4, "trend": 42.776666, "fair_value": 51.920662, "relative_strength": -28.419784, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.625816, "energy": 41.048124, "activity_lines": [ 44.44, 43.973636, 42.921904, 42.673656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.5, "volume": 431100, "typical_volume": 155969.65, "trend": 42.698333, "fair_value": 51.725953, "relative_strength": -32.953592, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.566279, "energy": 18.266407, "activity_lines": [ 43.82, 43.810909, 42.945952, 42.655806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 43.0, "volume": 103100, "typical_volume": 158671.3, "trend": 42.621667, "fair_value": 51.526723, "relative_strength": -33.761311, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.581258, "energy": 17.230009, "activity_lines": [ 43.456667, 43.696363, 43.011904, 42.675269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }