{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ef909ba-aeaf-4f5b-8a3d-89c0b6670431", "symbol": "UBU3", "name": "UBS Core MSCI USA UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.86, "architecture_energy": 67.516, "architecture_maturity": 84.144, "architecture_confidence": 73.033, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.54, "rotation_up": 53.65, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.32, "rotation_down": 29.0, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 160.469997, 159.812907, 157.452261, 153.846237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 163.744995, "trend_reference": 149.606815, "distance_from_trend": 0.094502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 127.402088, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285261, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.987178, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.157239, "excess_performance": 0.092599, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040648, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285261, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037305, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039872, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050451, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.157239, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.970143, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4733, "relative_activity": 1.507589, "balance": 1.970143, "dry_up": 1.261925, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0183, "annualized_volatility": 0.118345, "from_high_reference": -0.006468, "from_low_reference": 0.240802 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 149.606815, "fair_value_reference": 127.402088, "structural_low": 134.660004, 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154.040999, 150.783358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 159.235001, "volume": 7430, "typical_volume": 3274.95, "trend": 147.870268, "fair_value": 126.180348, "relative_strength": 7.956975, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.707462, "energy": 65.078107, "activity_lines": [ 159.591999, 158.809272, 154.944452, 151.554821 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 159.440002, "volume": 1626, "typical_volume": 3113.05, "trend": 148.447657, "fair_value": 126.57459, "relative_strength": 6.625182, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.544288, "energy": 64.790467, "activity_lines": [ 159.626334, 159.046, 155.780285, 152.301256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 157.634995, "volume": 2058, "typical_volume": 3079.1, "trend": 148.985116, "fair_value": 126.965871, "relative_strength": 3.049091, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.099459, "energy": 59.824849, "activity_lines": [ 159.035999, 158.879453, 156.364761, 152.893987 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 163.744995, "volume": 4733, "typical_volume": 3139.45, "trend": 149.606815, "fair_value": 127.402088, "relative_strength": 3.987178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.859636, "energy": 67.51611, "activity_lines": [ 160.469997, 159.812907, 157.452261, 153.846237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }