{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1efec086-c290-4242-9b95-c5a08e8ee7d9", "symbol": "OPBK", "name": "OP Bancorp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.461, "architecture_energy": 44.307, "architecture_maturity": 39.628, "architecture_confidence": 74.694, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.27, "rotation_up": 61.25, "upward_expansion": 78.46, "deceleration": 57.87, "rotation_down": 15.48, "downward_expansion": 5.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.398738, 15.166126, 14.772373, 14.453581 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.63, "trend_reference": 14.144887, "distance_from_trend": 0.104993, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.959833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.306874, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.710572, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.111266, "excess_performance": -0.076187, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104993, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031608, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.306874, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037825, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017106, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081709, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.222911, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 319569, "relative_activity": 1.531232, "balance": 2.222911, "dry_up": 1.202512, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064337, "annualized_volatility": 0.217186, "from_high_reference": -0.062983, "from_low_reference": 0.271554 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.144887, "fair_value_reference": 11.959833, "structural_low": 12.29205, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.005373, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": 0.01041, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.191438, "worst_return": -0.102135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.053075, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.051569, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.335186, "worst_return": -0.155458, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.06287, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.026143, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.244365, "worst_return": -0.081746, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }