{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1eff47ec-b66a-426c-8422-ef8284f65e3e", "symbol": "JPOLYINVST", "name": "Jindal Poly Investment and Finance Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 63.352, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.995, "architecture_energy": 42.66, "architecture_maturity": 27.405, "architecture_confidence": 75.191, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.63, "rotation_up": 15.51, "upward_expansion": 11.04, "deceleration": 37.6, "rotation_down": 51.53, "downward_expansion": 77.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 1050.939966, 1067.529072, 1072.032366, 1083.268914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1066.199951, "trend_reference": 1085.259994, "distance_from_trend": -0.017563, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 842.217947, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.265943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.532635, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.037816, "excess_performance": 0.081525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017563, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018287, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.265943, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145141, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035326, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151333, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.037816, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.037722, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113895, "relative_activity": 1.725385, "balance": 3.037722, "dry_up": 0.872683, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06157, "annualized_volatility": 0.445572, "from_high_reference": -0.283323, "from_low_reference": 0.489002 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1085.259994, "fair_value_reference": 842.217947, "structural_low": 976.200012, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.038849, "positive_rate": 0.764706, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": 0.015824, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.088228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.164353, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.190704, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.850035, "worst_return": -0.159763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.179121, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.115616, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.154094, 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.141389, "energy": 13.687123, "activity_lines": [ 1094.75332, 1085.456354, 1087.04761, 1091.61408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1029.099976, "volume": 23822, "typical_volume": 384828.8, "trend": 1081.393329, "fair_value": 835.33237, "relative_strength": 4.440731, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.48167, "energy": 15.05106, "activity_lines": [ 1072.386646, 1077.690897, 1080.563322, 1088.155154 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1020.799988, "volume": 15921, "typical_volume": 77564.65, "trend": 1081.343329, "fair_value": 838.367627, "relative_strength": 0.479448, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.812353, "energy": 35.538974, "activity_lines": [ 1051.446643, 1068.523624, 1073.634751, 1084.245906 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1066.199951, "volume": 113895, "typical_volume": 66011.35, "trend": 1085.259994, "fair_value": 842.217947, "relative_strength": 3.532635, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.995308, "energy": 42.659961, "activity_lines": [ 1050.939966, 1067.529072, 1072.032366, 1083.268914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }