{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f01a16e-acf6-4543-884f-91b84fe73a69", "symbol": "WSC", "name": "Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.951, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.228, "architecture_energy": 19.714, "architecture_maturity": 55.028, "architecture_confidence": 80.681, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.27, "rotation_up": 21.37, "upward_expansion": 54.98, "deceleration": 90.49, "rotation_down": 36.49, "downward_expansion": 23.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.277333, 26.181182, 25.812732, 24.510975 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 24.37, "trend_reference": 23.124275, "distance_from_trend": 0.053871, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.773086, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232999, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.543442, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101335, "excess_performance": -0.086119, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053871, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120393, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.232999, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073186, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035434, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058799, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101335, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.334161, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13927432, "relative_activity": 1.22768, "balance": 1.334161, "dry_up": 0.993962, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102596, "annualized_volatility": 0.52874, "from_high_reference": -0.181391, "from_low_reference": 0.649722 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.124275, "fair_value_reference": 31.773086, "structural_low": 16.475506, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.056942, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.007316, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.189182, "worst_return": -0.162639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.044898, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.166265, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.157987, "worst_return": -0.138036, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.041426, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.15235, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.065409, "worst_return": -0.166932, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 27.348667, 27.064819, 25.040371, 23.771564 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.225, "volume": 7755038, "typical_volume": 11125486.5, "trend": 22.643505, "fair_value": 32.132228, "relative_strength": 9.929729, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.077578, "energy": 40.481792, "activity_lines": [ 27.175, 27.146594, 25.434238, 24.085375 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.5, "volume": 11295811, "typical_volume": 11165422.65, "trend": 22.872749, "fair_value": 32.002526, "relative_strength": 9.726015, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.407788, "energy": 28.684788, "activity_lines": [ 26.82, 27.111085, 25.731708, 24.334181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.28, "volume": 12125774, "typical_volume": 11306631.8, "trend": 23.03694, "fair_value": 31.8838, "relative_strength": 0.534884, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.450827, "energy": 20.186373, "activity_lines": [ 25.881, 26.634013, 25.783026, 24.424971 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.37, "volume": 13927432, "typical_volume": 11344509.85, "trend": 23.124275, "fair_value": 31.773086, "relative_strength": -3.543442, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.228161, "energy": 19.713948, "activity_lines": [ 25.277333, 26.181182, 25.812732, 24.510975 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }