{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f050b0b-46af-4a6c-bf93-1b20d8afe961", "symbol": "000972", "name": "Chalkis Health Industry Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.327, "architecture_energy": 40.933, "architecture_maturity": 23.143, "architecture_confidence": 95.205, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.29, "rotation_up": 17.58, "upward_expansion": 5.57, "deceleration": 47.37, "rotation_down": 53.24, "downward_expansion": 76.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.396, 3.433455, 3.54019, 3.600366 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.44, "trend_reference": 3.676333, "distance_from_trend": -0.064285, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.404038, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.010564, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.436742, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.039106, "excess_performance": -0.046506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.064285, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035674, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.010564, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130418, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124367, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037916, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039106, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.22377, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47556329, "relative_activity": 1.286901, "balance": 0.22377, "dry_up": 1.223758, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07178, "annualized_volatility": 0.29295, "from_high_reference": -0.334623, "from_low_reference": 0.07837 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.676333, "fair_value_reference": 3.404038, "structural_low": 3.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.028947, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.017735, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.220994, "worst_return": -0.214744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.063158, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.082667, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.519337, "worst_return": -0.169872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.286325, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.098973, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.458564, "worst_return": -0.309735, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 3.508, 3.522909, 3.628429, 3.668645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.36, "volume": 45615288, "typical_volume": 35494501.45, "trend": 3.712, "fair_value": 3.408462, "relative_strength": -11.838605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.481711, "energy": 33.423309, "activity_lines": [ 3.469333, 3.484909, 3.597286, 3.645161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.27, "volume": 49696366, "typical_volume": 36234134.3, "trend": 3.692333, "fair_value": 3.40641, "relative_strength": -12.59846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.878121, "energy": 43.330473, "activity_lines": [ 3.406, 3.439273, 3.559667, 3.616645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.44, "volume": 47556329, "typical_volume": 36954150.1, "trend": 3.676333, "fair_value": 3.404038, "relative_strength": -12.436742, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.326738, "energy": 40.933371, "activity_lines": [ 3.396, 3.433455, 3.54019, 3.600366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }