{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f26b6d7-5220-40de-8e20-0e8f39fa32db", "symbol": "002224", "name": "Sanlux Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.475, "architecture_energy": 52.826, "architecture_maturity": 89.818, "architecture_confidence": 71.752, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.31, "rotation_up": 27.38, "upward_expansion": 21.29, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 49.02, "downward_expansion": 73.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.418667, 3.413171, 3.611576, 3.84228 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.51, "trend_reference": 4.121264, "distance_from_trend": -0.148319, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.460675, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.213124, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.312859, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.254777, "excess_performance": -0.262177, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148319, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0778, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.213124, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159274, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213129, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025377, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.254777, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.307223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45624220, "relative_activity": 0.720789, "balance": 0.307223, "dry_up": 0.846275, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061796, "annualized_volatility": 0.265706, "from_high_reference": -0.321083, "from_low_reference": 0.093458 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.121264, "fair_value_reference": 4.460675, "structural_low": 3.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.043779, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.006806, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.120268, "worst_return": -0.117296, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.088035, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.024042, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.266491, "worst_return": -0.064129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.099282, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.090629, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.268156, "worst_return": -0.196707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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76779702.45, "trend": 4.18293, "fair_value": 4.4779, "relative_strength": -25.160181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.677814, "energy": 68.198721, "activity_lines": [ 3.334667, 3.413562, 3.697651, 3.930249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.46, "volume": 48059518, "typical_volume": 74281912.15, "trend": 4.150597, "fair_value": 4.469412, "relative_strength": -19.116479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.098357, "energy": 63.33643, "activity_lines": [ 3.374, 3.40506, 3.649042, 3.883608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.51, "volume": 45624220, "typical_volume": 63297607.0, "trend": 4.121264, "fair_value": 4.460675, "relative_strength": -21.312859, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.474763, "energy": 52.82633, "activity_lines": [ 3.418667, 3.413171, 3.611576, 3.84228 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }