{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f271101-903a-43a2-a95e-849068db2f00", "symbol": "2740", "name": "Hua Hsuan Real Estate Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.992, "architecture_energy": 29.767, "architecture_maturity": 31.923, "architecture_confidence": 84.382, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.25, "rotation_up": 25.06, "upward_expansion": 8.0, "deceleration": 52.48, "rotation_down": 37.18, "downward_expansion": 67.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.013334, 32.046364, 32.86, 34.475699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 30.75, "trend_reference": 36.12, "distance_from_trend": -0.148671, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.435139, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.337786, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.241059, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.330794, "excess_performance": -0.772166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148671, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053932, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.337786, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079918, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292411, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082076, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.330794, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.145605, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8794, "relative_activity": 0.248269, "balance": 0.145605, "dry_up": 0.268715, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124703, "annualized_volatility": 0.461661, "from_high_reference": -0.351949, "from_low_reference": 0.541353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.12, "fair_value_reference": 46.435139, "structural_low": 23.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.023411, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.041782, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.323009, "worst_return": -0.21875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.088112, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.11217, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.903084, "worst_return": -0.213559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.147423, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.270668, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.787234, "worst_return": -0.454741, "sufficient": true }, { 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.305761, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.175, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.160919, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.038194, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.023173, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.849998, "volume": 7483, "typical_volume": 39070.05, "trend": 35.808334, "fair_value": 47.240909, "relative_strength": -21.398611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.440274, "energy": 21.114178, "activity_lines": [ 33.243333, 31.983636, 33.865952, 35.285376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.650002, "volume": 8320, "typical_volume": 37983.15, "trend": 35.973334, "fair_value": 46.995658, "relative_strength": -19.879506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.680066, "energy": 23.480176, "activity_lines": [ 33.626667, 32.294546, 33.666429, 35.146129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.9, "volume": 13476, "typical_volume": 37582.65, "trend": 36.068334, "fair_value": 46.71588, "relative_strength": -27.257615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.476501, "energy": 22.004808, "activity_lines": [ 32.876667, 32.147273, 33.243572, 34.818817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.75, "volume": 8794, "typical_volume": 35421.3, "trend": 36.12, "fair_value": 46.435139, "relative_strength": -29.241059, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.991985, "energy": 29.766998, "activity_lines": [ 32.013334, 32.046364, 32.86, 34.475699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }