{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f37238b-5444-4796-a67f-65d47bfd7adb", "symbol": "W1PP34", "name": "WPP plc", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 90.65, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 66.999, "architecture_energy": 84.639, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.976, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.23, "rotation_up": 79.1, "upward_expansion": 66.24, "deceleration": 23.67, "rotation_down": 18.73, "downward_expansion": 29.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.32, 20.424546, 19.215522, 18.759827 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.02, "trend_reference": 18.786134, "distance_from_trend": 0.491526, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.115893, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.245067, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.659824, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.454829, "excess_performance": 0.511877, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.491526, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.245067, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.308579, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.246598, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.682058, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.454829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.860197, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1349, "relative_activity": 3.727034, "balance": 5.860197, "dry_up": 1.232905, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063451, "annualized_volatility": 0.562066, "from_high_reference": -0.042959, "from_low_reference": 0.802922 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.786134, "fair_value_reference": 37.115893, "structural_low": 15.541438, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.013793, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.036868, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.05, "worst_return": -0.073216, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.103448, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.087975, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.127421, "worst_return": -0.159407, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.248769, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.316129, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.239289, "worst_return": -0.250743, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 5, "typical_volume": 394.7, "trend": 18.835133, "fair_value": 37.399079, "relative_strength": -21.073216, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.03053, "energy": 11.618536, "activity_lines": [ 18.36, 18.246916, 17.93956, 18.039436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.66, "volume": 41, "typical_volume": 317.6, "trend": 18.6788, "fair_value": 37.233896, "relative_strength": -11.307847, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.614405, "energy": 55.194939, "activity_lines": [ 19.239334, 18.688977, 18.236588, 18.157169 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.02, "volume": 1349, "typical_volume": 361.95, "trend": 18.786134, "fair_value": 37.115893, "relative_strength": 24.659824, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 66.99923, "energy": 84.638607, "activity_lines": [ 22.32, 20.424546, 19.215522, 18.759827 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }