{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f47f656-fb3b-4c3c-b238-e5aa625f7ae8", "symbol": "ETG", "name": "Entr\u00e9e Resources Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 75.227, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.694, "architecture_energy": 14.505, "architecture_maturity": 34.433, "architecture_confidence": 56.603, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.54, "rotation_up": 20.22, "upward_expansion": 27.73, "deceleration": 67.19, "rotation_down": 49.03, "downward_expansion": 27.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.596667, 2.688727, 2.623048, 2.592065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.54, "trend_reference": 2.619667, "distance_from_trend": -0.030411, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.998462, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.270978, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.88798, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.003922, "excess_performance": -0.124343, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.030411, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057454, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.270978, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104993, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07888, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054398, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003922, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487376, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 357600, "relative_activity": 1.190036, "balance": 0.487376, "dry_up": 1.262251, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100545, "annualized_volatility": 0.486284, "from_high_reference": -0.252941, "from_low_reference": 0.302564 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.619667, "fair_value_reference": 1.998462, "structural_low": 2.14, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.04, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": 0.030192, "regime_survival": 0.470588, "best_return": 0.65, "worst_return": -0.126437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.090476, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.098805, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.611765, "worst_return": -0.081633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.109167, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.104591, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.647059, "worst_return": 0.013274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.193924, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.243346, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.12, "worst_return": 0.079646, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193548, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.220513, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.123894, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.105528, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.180769, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.185714, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.025532, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.147619, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", 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"volume": 380800, "typical_volume": 296080.0, "trend": 2.604667, "fair_value": 1.984167, "relative_strength": -2.825144, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.79711, "energy": 62.292569, "activity_lines": [ 2.832, 2.757455, 2.633619, 2.608839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.42, "volume": 455100, "typical_volume": 306130.0, "trend": 2.615333, "fair_value": 1.991026, "relative_strength": -9.520762, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.575668, "energy": 8.258001, "activity_lines": [ 2.684667, 2.711818, 2.622714, 2.596925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.54, "volume": 357600, "typical_volume": 300495.0, "trend": 2.619667, "fair_value": 1.998462, "relative_strength": -7.88798, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.694206, "energy": 14.504909, "activity_lines": [ 2.596667, 2.688727, 2.623048, 2.592065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }