{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f5385e2-15ca-4d19-8112-9ee4a0a122f7", "symbol": "ANGH", "name": "Anghami De Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.7, "architecture_energy": 11.471, "architecture_maturity": 10.213, "architecture_confidence": 72.531, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.39, "rotation_up": 20.7, "upward_expansion": 35.44, "deceleration": 77.36, "rotation_down": 34.21, "downward_expansion": 38.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.42568, 3.623376, 3.72948, 3.61924 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.545, "trend_reference": 3.424467, "distance_from_trend": 0.035198, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.983365, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.492365, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.129612, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.521459, "excess_performance": 0.334006, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035198, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094755, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.492365, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045505, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.041296, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140336, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.521459, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.396799, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 179287, "relative_activity": 1.742866, "balance": 1.396799, "dry_up": 1.953279, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.324184, "annualized_volatility": 1.123395, "from_high_reference": -0.550697, "from_low_reference": 0.575556 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.424467, "fair_value_reference": 6.983365, "structural_low": 2.27, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.047027, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.080228, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.793814, "worst_return": -0.196581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.17094, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.176353, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.51073, "worst_return": -0.279129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.199738, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.338346, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.521459, "worst_return": -0.384123, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.433398, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.701825, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.367436, "worst_return": -0.49936, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.132184, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04319, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.13354, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.210446, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117029, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.643796, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.3225, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025751, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.029412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.212121, "active": 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46.906825, "energy": 37.83307, "activity_lines": [ 4.200667, 4.065627, 3.851426, 3.626319 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.38, "volume": 168851, "typical_volume": 67254.4, "trend": 3.398863, "fair_value": 7.187865, "relative_strength": -11.746003, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.695903, "energy": 11.712323, "activity_lines": [ 3.877333, 3.967084, 3.83016, 3.626952 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.2711, "volume": 269781, "typical_volume": 79160.6, "trend": 3.425233, "fair_value": 7.136398, "relative_strength": -9.567165, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.058747, "energy": 18.455136, "activity_lines": [ 3.5257, 3.854558, 3.79538, 3.618709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.39, "volume": 123192, "typical_volume": 84523.25, "trend": 3.4569, "fair_value": 7.086333, "relative_strength": -3.681145, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.013611, "energy": 17.450957, "activity_lines": [ 3.372293, 3.768176, 3.770632, 3.616436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.392, "volume": 231468, "typical_volume": 95158.2, "trend": 3.436633, "fair_value": 7.033077, "relative_strength": -3.906754, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.839489, "energy": 15.636912, "activity_lines": [ 3.372887, 3.683976, 3.744346, 3.612249 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.545, "volume": 179287, "typical_volume": 102869.05, "trend": 3.424467, "fair_value": 6.983365, "relative_strength": -4.129612, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.699516, "energy": 11.470987, "activity_lines": [ 3.42568, 3.623376, 3.72948, 3.61924 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }