{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f60ea82-71dd-4f75-ba29-a035e62f4f05", "symbol": "BAY", "name": "Bay Capital Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.71, "architecture_energy": 59.286, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.011, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.1, "rotation_up": 59.51, "upward_expansion": 82.05, "deceleration": 54.29, "rotation_down": 17.67, "downward_expansion": 11.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.090633, 0.087673, 0.081521, 0.075977 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.0925, "trend_reference": 0.0697, "distance_from_trend": 0.327116, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.080002, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156227, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 41.553687, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.541667, "excess_performance": 0.490431, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.327116, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171429, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.156227, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.373575, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.415537, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.231884, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.541667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 29.238777, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 251810, "relative_activity": 0.321935, "balance": 29.238777, "dry_up": 2.063997, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113929, "annualized_volatility": 0.405999, "from_high_reference": -0.075, "from_low_reference": 1.642857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0697, "fair_value_reference": 0.080002, "structural_low": 0.045, "invalidation": "A 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"volume": 5858439, "typical_volume": 893830.6, "trend": 0.067533, "fair_value": 0.080835, "relative_strength": 50.774021, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.110968, "energy": 52.93012, "activity_lines": [ 0.085933, 0.0843, 0.077638, 0.072826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0925, "volume": 216322, "typical_volume": 904585.65, "trend": 0.068617, "fair_value": 0.080418, "relative_strength": 43.48557, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.799642, "energy": 50.016959, "activity_lines": [ 0.088533, 0.086145, 0.079657, 0.074437 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0925, "volume": 251810, "typical_volume": 782176.15, "trend": 0.0697, "fair_value": 0.080002, "relative_strength": 41.553687, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.709734, "energy": 59.286074, "activity_lines": [ 0.090633, 0.087673, 0.081521, 0.075977 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }