{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f619e97-35f5-4881-b88c-eec9d31f931b", "symbol": "SLRM", "name": "Solrom Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.173, "architecture_energy": 66.876, "architecture_maturity": 56.024, "architecture_confidence": 95.995, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 24.79, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 52.89, "rotation_down": 60.45, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.6244, 6.967582, 8.224812, 9.398576 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.232, "trend_reference": 11.145815, "distance_from_trend": -0.440866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.230093, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.669396, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.560157, "excess_performance": -0.589057, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.440866, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13539, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.000306, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.043518, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.486694, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.361237, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.560157, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.520334, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 260634, "relative_activity": 0.635904, "balance": 0.520334, "dry_up": 1.262534, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193246, "annualized_volatility": 0.835339, "from_high_reference": -0.70948, "from_low_reference": 0.074483 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.145815, "fair_value_reference": 6.230093, "structural_low": 5.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.012683, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.008106, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 1.24226, "worst_return": -0.226074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.078792, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.083736, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 2.477696, "worst_return": -0.34169, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.670184, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.552269, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.667141, "worst_return": -0.268127, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.696346, "energy": 88.572327, "activity_lines": [ 7.455, 8.244436, 9.62105, 10.744636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.008, "volume": 1116778, "typical_volume": 490012.35, "trend": 11.890409, "fair_value": 6.135196, "relative_strength": -51.265046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.879335, "energy": 91.735386, "activity_lines": [ 6.895267, 7.708673, 9.16494, 10.350623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.234, "volume": 396373, "typical_volume": 468036.9, "trend": 11.700536, "fair_value": 6.169316, "relative_strength": -42.729431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.860962, "energy": 71.63416, "activity_lines": [ 6.914467, 7.499491, 8.859121, 10.05021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.841, "volume": 296082, "typical_volume": 450797.65, "trend": 11.472793, "fair_value": 6.201361, "relative_strength": -43.995674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.072057, "energy": 63.85637, "activity_lines": [ 6.836867, 7.260091, 8.556445, 9.736691 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.232, "volume": 260634, "typical_volume": 409863.6, "trend": 11.145815, "fair_value": 6.230093, "relative_strength": -48.669396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.173241, "energy": 66.876465, "activity_lines": [ 6.6244, 6.967582, 8.224812, 9.398576 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }