{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f65614f-0d43-47eb-8c50-1efbaa025999", "symbol": "NRSH", "name": "TIDAL ETF TRUST AZTLAN NORTH AMERICA NEARSHORING STOCK", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.433, "architecture_energy": 26.105, "architecture_maturity": 68.56, "architecture_confidence": 88.022, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.72, "rotation_up": 26.9, "upward_expansion": 59.56, "deceleration": 88.09, "rotation_down": 29.88, "downward_expansion": 20.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.670607, 32.085971, 31.815627, 30.516177 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 32.2558, "trend_reference": 28.82129, "distance_from_trend": 0.119166, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.084004, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.397323, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.60757, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.277265, "excess_performance": 0.15164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.119166, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114701, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.397323, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024701, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.096076, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087859, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277265, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.482131, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32338, "relative_activity": 2.186633, "balance": 0.482131, "dry_up": 1.597527, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045024, "annualized_volatility": 0.232369, "from_high_reference": -0.095716, "from_low_reference": 0.540956 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.82129, "fair_value_reference": 23.084004, "structural_low": 23.2982, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.016688, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.003019, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.078106, "worst_return": 0.002262, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.072148, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.05245, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.120095, "worst_return": 0.024202, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.193317, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.103274, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.193317, "worst_return": 0.193317, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.6448, "volume": 466, "typical_volume": 10159.15, "trend": 28.06096, "fair_value": 22.901203, "relative_strength": 13.179615, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.622263, "energy": 41.79907, "activity_lines": [ 32.467147, 32.632862, 31.383714, 29.900602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.3791, "volume": 60844, "typical_volume": 13165.25, "trend": 28.31747, "fair_value": 22.962195, "relative_strength": 12.459934, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.910499, "energy": 31.731896, "activity_lines": [ 32.01602, 32.430933, 31.550619, 30.114675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.8436, "volume": 855, "typical_volume": 13199.55, "trend": 28.558653, "fair_value": 23.018491, "relative_strength": 8.936639, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.278777, "energy": 22.59546, "activity_lines": [ 31.537533, 32.126622, 31.63198, 30.277651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.2558, "volume": 32338, "typical_volume": 14788.95, "trend": 28.82129, "fair_value": 23.084004, "relative_strength": 9.60757, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.43347, "energy": 26.105033, "activity_lines": [ 31.670607, 32.085971, 31.815627, 30.516177 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }