{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f7f84e0-d444-4369-ab14-5beef2a80fb0", "symbol": "CEGR3", "name": "Companhia Distribuidora de G\u00e1s do Rio de Janeiro - CEG", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -97.993, "architecture_energy": 79.15, "architecture_maturity": 71.64, "architecture_confidence": 79.261, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.42, "rotation_up": 22.45, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 57.71, "rotation_down": 74.29, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.33, 34.816364, 35.565108, 38.489382 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.99, "trend_reference": 42.873087, "distance_from_trend": -0.300494, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 70.412066, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.574079, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -56.970128, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.451038, "excess_performance": -0.393989, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.300494, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303929, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.574079, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016713, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.569701, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091547, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.451038, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.75, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100, "relative_activity": 0.952381, "balance": 0.75, "dry_up": 0.238095, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039859, "annualized_volatility": 0.667534, "from_high_reference": -0.687087, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.873087, "fair_value_reference": 70.412066, "structural_low": 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{ "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 32.91, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 140.0, "trend": 65.564268, "fair_value": 74.013607, "relative_strength": -64.165938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.666656, "energy": 86.360736, "activity_lines": [ 32.865761, 37.162401, 44.237011, 53.042972 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 32.689999, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 155.0, "trend": 63.473458, "fair_value": 73.675488, "relative_strength": -63.499636, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.57935, "energy": 69.702299, "activity_lines": [ 32.82192, 35.479677, 42.531627, 50.922051 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 39.0, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 120.0, "trend": 61.592981, "fair_value": 73.377817, "relative_strength": -55.041696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.527702, "energy": 40.29712, "activity_lines": [ 38.579333, 36.638662, 39.8556, 45.334247 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 39.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 105.0, "trend": 54.071073, "fair_value": 72.236364, "relative_strength": -51.391098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.290141, "energy": 40.279313, "activity_lines": [ 39.0, 37.315069, 39.37326, 44.240598 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 35.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 100.0, "trend": 52.057263, "fair_value": 71.937667, "relative_strength": -55.746242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.059795, "energy": 55.856022, "activity_lines": [ 37.666667, 37.149454, 38.584397, 43.010206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 35.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 100.0, "trend": 50.043453, "fair_value": 71.63897, "relative_strength": -55.692883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.884863, "energy": 75.195414, "activity_lines": [ 36.6, 36.941818, 37.889012, 41.909738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 100.0, "trend": 48.015404, "fair_value": 71.340273, "relative_strength": -53.597977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.004581, "energy": 95.066872, "activity_lines": [ 35.8, 36.696182, 37.287105, 40.939192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 100.0, "trend": 45.987355, "fair_value": 71.041575, "relative_strength": -52.603973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.195031, "energy": 91.308761, "activity_lines": [ 35.266667, 36.412545, 36.778676, 40.099489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 100.0, "trend": 43.959306, "fair_value": 70.742878, "relative_strength": -52.526833, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.305412, "energy": 88.525714, "activity_lines": [ 35.0, 36.090909, 36.363725, 39.390627 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.99, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 105.0, "trend": 42.873087, "fair_value": 70.412066, "relative_strength": -56.970128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -97.99309, "energy": 79.150278, "activity_lines": [ 33.33, 34.816364, 35.565108, 38.489382 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }