{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f80f9bf-0d89-4cd5-87df-50ef921f485f", "symbol": "SDA", "name": "SunCar Technology Group Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.078, "architecture_energy": 39.564, "architecture_maturity": 89.149, "architecture_confidence": 83.92, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.67, "rotation_up": 28.26, "upward_expansion": 5.94, "deceleration": 58.97, "rotation_down": 41.27, "downward_expansion": 76.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.806893, 0.813391, 0.884929, 1.089699 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.85, "trend_reference": 1.379217, "distance_from_trend": -0.383708, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.522446, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.846083, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -57.847211, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.550265, "excess_performance": -0.737718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.383708, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.217719, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.846083, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000131, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.578472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018076, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.550265, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.053631, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 243550, "relative_activity": 0.075773, "balance": 1.053631, "dry_up": 0.111967, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.305742, "annualized_volatility": 1.381856, "from_high_reference": -0.709898, "from_low_reference": 0.808511 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.379217, "fair_value_reference": 5.522446, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.044563, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.705882, "median_excess_return": -0.087585, "regime_survival": 0.941176, "best_return": 0.152174, "worst_return": -0.331148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.138996, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.317734, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": -0.035714, "worst_return": -0.537045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.341989, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.424608, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.152466, "worst_return": -0.531513, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1.126573 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.85, "volume": 243550, "typical_volume": 3214192.85, "trend": 1.379217, "fair_value": 5.522446, "relative_strength": -57.847211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.078247, "energy": 39.564378, "activity_lines": [ 0.806893, 0.813391, 0.884929, 1.089699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }