{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f8524a4-32c5-4a6b-83b1-6b8531c95231", "symbol": "7078", "name": "Ahmad Zaki Resources Berhad", "exchange": "KLS", "country": "MY", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^KLSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.246, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 2.778, "architecture_energy": 21.201, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 48.965, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.87, "rotation_up": 46.53, "upward_expansion": 35.68, "deceleration": 44.35, "rotation_down": 16.75, "downward_expansion": 44.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.116667, 0.111545, 0.111286, 0.114753 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.12, "trend_reference": 0.1215, "distance_from_trend": -0.012346, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.201538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.40458, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.282788, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.225806, "excess_performance": -0.216479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012346, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122744, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.40458, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026682, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.222828, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133405, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225806, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.852115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 892100, "relative_activity": 0.565316, "balance": 2.852115, "dry_up": 1.724623, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076923, "annualized_volatility": 0.487781, "from_high_reference": -0.52, "from_low_reference": 0.263158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1215, "fair_value_reference": 0.201538, "structural_low": 0.095, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.410256, "median_excess_return": -0.003196, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.571429, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.022727, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.019369, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.925926, "worst_return": -0.304348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.033597, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.037481, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.625, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 1184820.0, "trend": 0.124833, "fair_value": 0.20375, "relative_strength": -34.99695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.472286, "energy": 46.347293, "activity_lines": [ 0.103333, 0.103636, 0.109595, 0.115462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.12, "volume": 8206800, "typical_volume": 1566530.0, "trend": 0.123667, "fair_value": 0.202981, "relative_strength": -24.813032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.712719, "energy": 20.020629, "activity_lines": [ 0.109, 0.106455, 0.110143, 0.115151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 0.12, "volume": 814300, "typical_volume": 1589230.0, "trend": 0.1225, "fair_value": 0.202244, "relative_strength": -23.169928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.70174, "energy": 16.713396, "activity_lines": [ 0.113333, 0.109182, 0.110714, 0.114914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 0.12, "volume": 892100, "typical_volume": 1578055.0, "trend": 0.1215, "fair_value": 0.201538, "relative_strength": -22.282788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.777634, "energy": 21.201146, "activity_lines": [ 0.116667, 0.111545, 0.111286, 0.114753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }