{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1f91db3c-b29e-4ba7-b630-d7ffeac69e70", "symbol": "MKPL", "name": "M. K. Proteins Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.99, "architecture_energy": 80.405, "architecture_maturity": 22.106, "architecture_confidence": 85.533, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 9.28, "upward_expansion": 18.73, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 80.69, "downward_expansion": 96.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.246667, 4.437455, 4.691238, 4.798043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 4.21, "trend_reference": 4.960667, "distance_from_trend": -0.151324, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.813237, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.610662, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.59105, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.190385, "excess_performance": -0.146676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.151324, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097842, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.610662, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034978, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245911, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113851, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190385, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.196269, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 550971, "relative_activity": 0.614152, "balance": 0.196269, "dry_up": 0.733859, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078933, "annualized_volatility": 0.303594, "from_high_reference": -0.524294, "from_low_reference": 0.182584 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.960667, "fair_value_reference": 10.813237, "structural_low": 3.56, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.043702, "positive_rate": 0.346154, "directional_follow_through": 0.653846, "median_excess_return": -0.035135, "regime_survival": 0.884615, "best_return": 0.328431, "worst_return": -0.315972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.124493, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.143542, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.222374, "worst_return": -0.441149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.191803, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.100441, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.20545, "worst_return": -0.383139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"down", "direction": -72.231756, "energy": 66.822108, "activity_lines": [ 4.647333, 4.752727, 4.90081, 4.972925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.13, "volume": 1036747, "typical_volume": 994528.2, "trend": 5.075, "fair_value": 11.088494, "relative_strength": -24.899362, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.604682, "energy": 79.944725, "activity_lines": [ 4.450667, 4.622545, 4.823762, 4.907763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.18, "volume": 422814, "typical_volume": 920750.8, "trend": 5.015667, "fair_value": 10.952372, "relative_strength": -25.210217, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.708392, "energy": 81.357564, "activity_lines": [ 4.322667, 4.519455, 4.754762, 4.850022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.21, "volume": 550971, "typical_volume": 897124.45, "trend": 4.960667, "fair_value": 10.813237, "relative_strength": -24.59105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.990365, "energy": 80.405054, "activity_lines": [ 4.246667, 4.437455, 4.691238, 4.798043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }