{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1fa45308-112b-481b-badf-cd0742a2ea4f", "symbol": "000707", "name": "Hubei Shuanghuan Science and Technology Stock Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.342, "architecture_energy": 61.833, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 29.13, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.75, "rotation_down": 52.43, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.346667, 4.372727, 4.73019, 5.097333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.45, "trend_reference": 5.555, "distance_from_trend": -0.19892, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.638343, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.329652, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.850519, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.330827, "excess_performance": -0.338227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19892, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10244, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.329652, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174224, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.278505, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02173, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.330827, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.483419, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38959876, "relative_activity": 0.807027, "balance": 0.483419, "dry_up": 0.887575, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071219, "annualized_volatility": 0.321135, "from_high_reference": -0.364286, "from_low_reference": 0.08802 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.555, "fair_value_reference": 6.638343, "structural_low": 4.09, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.013111, "positive_rate": 0.551724, "directional_follow_through": 0.448276, "median_excess_return": -0.005178, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.14228, "worst_return": -0.162393, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.01282, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.072876, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.299524, "worst_return": -0.286913, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.086664, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.160992, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.077574, "worst_return": -0.297521, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.876381, "energy": 84.485003, "activity_lines": [ 4.328667, 4.513091, 5.002857, 5.354839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.14, "volume": 53771272, "typical_volume": 57471996.6, "trend": 5.666667, "fair_value": 6.686495, "relative_strength": -32.073248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.152895, "energy": 83.243167, "activity_lines": [ 4.251333, 4.406, 4.881381, 5.251849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.43, "volume": 39900352, "typical_volume": 52644668.55, "trend": 5.608333, "fair_value": 6.662752, "relative_strength": -25.261942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.224171, "energy": 65.771547, "activity_lines": [ 4.298, 4.379818, 4.799238, 5.172065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.45, "volume": 38959876, "typical_volume": 48275820.55, "trend": 5.555, "fair_value": 6.638343, "relative_strength": -27.850519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.34176, "energy": 61.833102, "activity_lines": [ 4.346667, 4.372727, 4.73019, 5.097333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }