{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1fb9abd0-fa27-4866-81be-f20ea2476548",
    "symbol": "DIO",
    "name": "Christian Dior SE",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.985,
    "architecture_energy": 58.648,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.888,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.526,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.63,
        "rotation_up": 9.57,
        "upward_expansion": 10.58,
        "deceleration": 40.35,
        "rotation_down": 67.22,
        "downward_expansion": 81.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        447.680703,
        451.223067
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 435.799988,
    "trend_reference": 464.16207,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.061104,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 558.588737,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.21982,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -17.921572,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.103983,
    "excess_performance": -0.168623,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061104,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080065,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21982,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016299,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.179216,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082548,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103983,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.091837,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 94,
      "relative_activity": 1.785375,
      "balance": 2.091837,
      "dry_up": 1.709402,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036114,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.322415,
      "from_high_reference": -0.266613,
      "from_low_reference": 0.047093
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 464.16207,
      "fair_value_reference": 558.588737,
      "structural_low": 416.200012,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.051316,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.434783,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004459,
        "regime_survival": 0.782609,
        "best_return": 0.2384,
        "worst_return": -0.140303,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.251116,
        "worst_return": -0.09017,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.150901,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 444.799988,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 70.5,
        "trend": 511.658184,
        "fair_value": 579.981352,
        "relative_strength": -13.960504,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 69.208811,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 444.799988,
        "volume": 35,
        "typical_volume": 70.85,
        "trend": 508.029731,
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        "direction": -60.526273,
        "energy": 55.891594,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 69.1,
        "trend": 504.559369,
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        "relative_strength": -11.624857,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 1,
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        "trend": 501.364225,
        "fair_value": 574.726083,
        "relative_strength": -9.766764,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 41.48304,
        "activity_lines": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 64.0,
        "trend": 497.195874,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 18.990598,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -7.871064,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.768008,
        "energy": 19.759796,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 457.399994,
        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 567.895115,
        "relative_strength": -12.349621,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 17.961569,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 78,
        "typical_volume": 51.25,
        "trend": 483.086086,
        "fair_value": 565.816151,
        "relative_strength": -10.460807,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.827453,
        "energy": 16.020573,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 455.799988,
        "volume": 106,
        "typical_volume": 48.35,
        "trend": 478.978841,
        "fair_value": 563.994587,
        "relative_strength": -9.328985,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.612888,
        "energy": 11.820005,
        "activity_lines": [
          458.119997,
          457.40727,
          452.007129,
          459.107762
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 429.0,
        "volume": 35,
        "typical_volume": 46.6,
        "trend": 474.305391,
        "fair_value": 562.167974,
        "relative_strength": -15.492181,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.127128,
        "energy": 33.597103,
        "activity_lines": [
          447.066665,
          453.112725,
          449.968762,
          455.883321
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 435.600006,
        "volume": 125,
        "typical_volume": 52.05,
        "trend": 469.328537,
        "fair_value": 560.362826,
        "relative_strength": -15.866856,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.736976,
        "energy": 43.563706,
        "activity_lines": [
          441.813334,
          449.785454,
          448.748995,
          453.386199
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 435.799988,
        "volume": 94,
        "typical_volume": 52.65,
        "trend": 464.16207,
        "fair_value": 558.588737,
        "relative_strength": -17.921572,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.984919,
        "energy": 58.64828,
        "activity_lines": [
          438.279997,
          446.661815,
          447.680703,
          451.223067
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}