{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1fbc1739-3a15-46c5-9160-2a2c89e7b810",
    "symbol": "NSCO",
    "name": "Norfolk Southern Corporation",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.88,
    "architecture_energy": 76.546,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.199,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.627,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.09,
        "rotation_up": 73.82,
        "upward_expansion": 90.86,
        "deceleration": 46.02,
        "rotation_down": 9.99,
        "downward_expansion": 17.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        280.105436,
        273.889067
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 293.799988,
    "trend_reference": 266.487139,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.102492,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 225.530234,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302708,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.573277,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.135664,
    "excess_performance": -0.038583,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102492,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047526,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302708,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080063,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065733,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002921,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135664,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.966443,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 188,
      "relative_activity": 2.071625,
      "balance": 5.966443,
      "dry_up": 2.493113,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042284,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.219507,
      "from_high_reference": -0.050955,
      "from_low_reference": 0.297615
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 225.530234,
      "structural_low": 240.793131,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.01057,
        "positive_rate": 0.380952,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.380952,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040695,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.141669,
        "worst_return": -0.138211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.019666,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": -8.011046,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 160,
        "typical_volume": 140.55,
        "trend": 261.293864,
        "fair_value": 223.498275,
        "relative_strength": -1.809439,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 85.315988,
        "activity_lines": [
          285.135164,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 308.280334,
        "volume": 448,
        "typical_volume": 147.05,
        "trend": 263.387144,
        "fair_value": 224.19449,
        "relative_strength": 0.45104,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.463526,
        "energy": 94.982607,
        "activity_lines": [
          294.700201,
          284.477006,
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          270.295514
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 290.16376,
        "volume": 109,
        "typical_volume": 127.8,
        "trend": 264.876538,
        "fair_value": 224.826385,
        "relative_strength": -5.18918,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.594247,
        "energy": 81.890635,
        "activity_lines": [
          295.101024,
          286.643026,
          277.820808,
          272.023038
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 293.799988,
        "volume": 188,
        "typical_volume": 90.75,
        "trend": 266.487139,
        "fair_value": 225.530234,
        "relative_strength": -6.573277,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.88016,
        "energy": 76.545702,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}