{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1fc6bd30-fd79-42ae-aeb8-2e50adb7ccf4", "symbol": "GAMR", "name": "AMPLIFY VIDEO GAME LEADERS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.991, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.31, "architecture_energy": 65.863, "architecture_maturity": 23.109, "architecture_confidence": 79.553, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.2, "rotation_up": 63.15, "upward_expansion": 85.29, "deceleration": 51.45, "rotation_down": 20.04, "downward_expansion": 11.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.945993, 92.444791, 90.346256, 87.75258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 98.074, "trend_reference": 85.438433, "distance_from_trend": 0.147891, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 71.82302, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.365495, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.782012, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.212093, "excess_performance": 0.086469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147891, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002161, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.365495, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101372, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01782, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085087, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.212093, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.241433, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5459, "relative_activity": 1.002617, "balance": 1.241433, "dry_up": 0.832361, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040583, "annualized_volatility": 0.248632, "from_high_reference": -0.051466, "from_low_reference": 0.373009 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.438433, "fair_value_reference": 71.82302, "structural_low": 71.43, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.00714, "positive_rate": 0.653846, "directional_follow_through": 0.653846, "median_excess_return": -0.00992, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.083207, "worst_return": -0.110516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.032664, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.018991, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.227823, "worst_return": -0.107971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.097003, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.016928, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.260424, "worst_return": -0.136652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.3539, "volume": 3154, "typical_volume": 5396.5, "trend": 85.07504, "fair_value": 71.344183, "relative_strength": -6.850296, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.605694, "energy": 53.257443, "activity_lines": [ 91.05962, 90.556095, 88.468231, 86.384572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 93.3635, "volume": 4397, "typical_volume": 5359.4, "trend": 85.158337, "fair_value": 71.562041, "relative_strength": -3.472546, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.455612, "energy": 58.32061, "activity_lines": [ 91.922173, 91.117931, 89.2196, 86.919311 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 98.074, "volume": 5459, "typical_volume": 5444.75, "trend": 85.438433, "fair_value": 71.82302, "relative_strength": -1.782012, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.310144, "energy": 65.86273, "activity_lines": [ 93.945993, 92.444791, 90.346256, 87.75258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }