{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1fd1fa76-1839-4af8-88b2-f121126a4621",
    "symbol": "RACE",
    "name": "Ferrari N.V.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 75.869,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.286,
    "architecture_energy": 66.701,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.722,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.109,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.27,
        "rotation_up": 72.86,
        "upward_expansion": 87.15,
        "deceleration": 48.47,
        "rotation_down": 14.23,
        "downward_expansion": 11.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 356.450012,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.171521,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 359.979344,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009804,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.313797,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.274337,
    "excess_performance": 0.10009,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171521,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004259,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009804,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179715,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123138,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.191599,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.274337,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.517025,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.270089,
      "balance": 0.517025,
      "dry_up": 1.637564,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
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      "annualized_volatility": 0.340625,
      "from_high_reference": -0.159455,
      "from_low_reference": 0.334234
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 359.979344,
      "structural_low": 267.157101,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
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        "positive_rate": 0.448276,
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "relative_strength": -30.308231,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.014496,
        "energy": 19.246688,
        "activity_lines": [
          300.349164,
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          296.299632,
          302.153247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 289.049988,
        "volume": 603,
        "typical_volume": 121.95,
        "trend": 310.648219,
        "fair_value": 356.640157,
        "relative_strength": -31.473677,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.44653,
        "energy": 17.505681,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 279.350006,
        "volume": 1536,
        "typical_volume": 197.25,
        "trend": 308.744298,
        "fair_value": 356.707259,
        "relative_strength": -32.569112,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.907959,
        "energy": 34.537262,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 301.700012,
        "volume": 299,
        "typical_volume": 209.35,
        "trend": 307.143741,
        "fair_value": 356.943254,
        "relative_strength": -27.792185,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.449559,
        "energy": 24.143928,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 295.399994,
        "volume": 737,
        "typical_volume": 243.9,
        "trend": 305.563888,
        "fair_value": 357.089493,
        "relative_strength": -30.320786,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.242479,
        "energy": 19.72052,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 6,
        "typical_volume": 244.15,
        "trend": 303.969321,
        "fair_value": 357.288358,
        "relative_strength": -27.549688,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.300217,
        "energy": 11.432014,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 307.049988,
        "volume": 105,
        "typical_volume": 242.15,
        "trend": 302.33946,
        "fair_value": 357.496153,
        "relative_strength": -27.070526,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 357.7239,
        "relative_strength": -28.365056,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 655,
        "typical_volume": 272.55,
        "trend": 301.203036,
        "fair_value": 357.926159,
        "relative_strength": -23.099674,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.797824,
        "energy": 49.997845,
        "activity_lines": [
          311.673328,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 334.149994,
        "volume": 119,
        "typical_volume": 272.4,
        "trend": 301.106007,
        "fair_value": 358.265801,
        "relative_strength": -21.438471,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.991787,
        "energy": 75.315286,
        "activity_lines": [
          320.633327,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 331.899994,
        "volume": 2629,
        "typical_volume": 400.7,
        "trend": 301.843617,
        "fair_value": 358.562896,
        "relative_strength": -19.994918,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.775347,
        "energy": 76.350061,
        "activity_lines": [
          326.259994,
          315.697268,
          306.359568,
          303.30381
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 330.25,
        "volume": 770,
        "typical_volume": 435.35,
        "trend": 302.203238,
        "fair_value": 358.883787,
        "relative_strength": -17.792653,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.600806,
        "energy": 76.493617,
        "activity_lines": [
          329.216663,
          319.879087,
          309.130308,
          305.13648
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 317.799988,
        "volume": 848,
        "typical_volume": 476.95,
        "trend": 302.240142,
        "fair_value": 359.093622,
        "relative_strength": -20.891831,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.026138,
        "energy": 67.566155,
        "activity_lines": [
          326.47666,
          321.048176,
          310.655011,
          306.142722
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 338.399994,
        "volume": 1421,
        "typical_volume": 544.0,
        "trend": 303.095544,
        "fair_value": 359.476131,
        "relative_strength": -14.946362,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.638153,
        "energy": 55.940807,
        "activity_lines": [
          330.12666,
          325.26363,
          314.049245,
          308.475616
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 356.450012,
        "volume": 731,
        "typical_volume": 575.55,
        "trend": 304.262584,
        "fair_value": 359.979344,
        "relative_strength": -12.313797,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.285689,
        "energy": 66.701395,
        "activity_lines": [
          338.776666,
          332.093634,
          318.917913,
          311.91784
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}