{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1fe79028-9f0f-44d8-937a-41dd87f668a4", "symbol": "XRME", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA Screened UCITS ETF 2C EUR Hedged", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.77, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.736, "architecture_energy": 59.447, "architecture_maturity": 64.555, "architecture_confidence": 61.291, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.5, "rotation_up": 51.97, "upward_expansion": 80.1, "deceleration": 70.25, "rotation_down": 28.07, "downward_expansion": 9.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.090133, 13.03, 12.91761, 12.664284 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.468, "trend_reference": 12.389133, "distance_from_trend": 0.087082, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.315404, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30562, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.868255, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126275, "excess_performance": -0.044616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087082, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026503, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30562, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007027, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048683, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02597, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126275, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.090203, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18475, "relative_activity": 0.870417, "balance": 3.090203, "dry_up": 0.775355, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018962, "annualized_volatility": 0.146073, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.229505 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.389133, "fair_value_reference": 10.315404, "structural_low": 10.954, "invalidation": "A 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"Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.348294, "energy": 54.248619, "activity_lines": [ 12.933867, 12.948364, 12.620133, 12.418413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.12, "volume": 18665, "typical_volume": 28270.8, "trend": 12.262133, "fair_value": 10.184545, "relative_strength": -6.072419, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.283955, "energy": 62.350579, "activity_lines": [ 12.992267, 12.988509, 12.697219, 12.476172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.956, "volume": 26525, "typical_volume": 26895.4, "trend": 12.293933, "fair_value": 10.216756, "relative_strength": -5.784264, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.13871, "energy": 56.96655, "activity_lines": [ 12.989333, 12.985855, 12.752962, 12.520938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.876, "volume": 6091, "typical_volume": 23741.6, "trend": 12.319267, "fair_value": 10.248455, "relative_strength": -6.058231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.613683, "energy": 50.303299, "activity_lines": [ 12.956933, 12.966036, 12.795933, 12.55849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.838, "volume": 14738, "typical_volume": 22660.45, "trend": 12.346933, "fair_value": 10.27991, "relative_strength": -6.764107, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.768541, "energy": 40.706495, "activity_lines": [ 12.9212, 12.939309, 12.830038, 12.591957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.468, "volume": 18475, "typical_volume": 21225.45, "trend": 12.389133, "fair_value": 10.315404, "relative_strength": -4.868255, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.73633, "energy": 59.44749, "activity_lines": [ 13.090133, 13.03, 12.91761, 12.664284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }