{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1feb362d-c853-47bd-b707-5ddd62926adb", "symbol": "9927", "name": "Thye Ming Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.62, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.627, "architecture_energy": 30.457, "architecture_maturity": 38.453, "architecture_confidence": 70.799, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.87, "rotation_up": 46.34, "upward_expansion": 75.7, "deceleration": 54.97, "rotation_down": 17.1, "downward_expansion": 4.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.426669, 69.283638, 69.062858, 68.927528 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 69.300003, "trend_reference": 68.91, "distance_from_trend": 0.00566, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 76.568866, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.094932, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.328192, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.00431, "excess_performance": -0.350043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00566, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002066, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.094932, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002181, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283282, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113834, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.00431, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.49357, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 340175, "relative_activity": 0.803477, "balance": 1.49357, "dry_up": 1.156865, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023088, "annualized_volatility": 0.103804, "from_high_reference": -0.137057, "from_low_reference": 0.05 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.91, "fair_value_reference": 76.568866, "structural_low": 66.099998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.001194, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002817, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.19084, "worst_return": -0.063663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.021771, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.065497, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.219608, "worst_return": -0.135583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.098039, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.066564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.107955, "worst_return": 0.04145, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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68.806667, "fair_value": 76.209115, "relative_strength": -29.894643, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.127956, "energy": 13.556273, "activity_lines": [ 69.04, 68.992728, 68.789524, 68.773979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.900002, "volume": 601058, "typical_volume": 442312.5, "trend": 68.86, "fair_value": 76.337962, "relative_strength": -27.683861, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.21809, "energy": 21.952429, "activity_lines": [ 69.380001, 69.183637, 68.915239, 68.844516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.400002, "volume": 351946, "typical_volume": 422455.1, "trend": 68.903334, "fair_value": 76.430511, "relative_strength": -28.825185, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.489145, "energy": 30.125436, "activity_lines": [ 69.453334, 69.243637, 68.978572, 68.879355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.300003, "volume": 665988, "typical_volume": 431789.75, "trend": 68.95, "fair_value": 76.485649, "relative_strength": -30.335297, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.002821, "energy": 29.29731, "activity_lines": [ 69.473335, 69.260001, 69.024287, 68.904947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 69.300003, "volume": 340175, "typical_volume": 423378.55, "trend": 68.91, "fair_value": 76.568866, "relative_strength": -28.328192, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.627123, "energy": 30.456804, "activity_lines": [ 69.426669, 69.283638, 69.062858, 68.927528 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }