{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ff30c3f-edc8-4b9a-a6d4-63f173d8f96a", "symbol": "HLF", "name": "High Liner Foods Incorporated", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.686, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.723, "architecture_energy": 11.005, "architecture_maturity": 32.116, "architecture_confidence": 55.776, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.22, "rotation_up": 22.47, "upward_expansion": 23.56, "deceleration": 54.98, "rotation_down": 31.42, "downward_expansion": 50.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.629333, 14.677091, 14.542881, 14.619656 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.57, "trend_reference": 14.815798, "distance_from_trend": -0.01659, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.696996, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.063737, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.538091, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.076794, "excess_performance": -0.197215, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.01659, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019496, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.063737, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135381, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07793, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076794, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.676151, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 128100, "relative_activity": 1.057672, "balance": 2.676151, "dry_up": 0.710482, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032152, "annualized_volatility": 0.148001, "from_high_reference": -0.152406, "from_low_reference": 0.136151 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.815798, "fair_value_reference": 13.696996, "structural_low": 13.428104, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.011539, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.005406, "regime_survival": 0.470588, "best_return": 0.089734, "worst_return": -0.209053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.063869, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.091118, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.24915, "worst_return": -0.168872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0663, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.032925, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.334402, "worst_return": -0.270886, 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-4.010905, "energy": 21.349821, "activity_lines": [ 14.736, 14.654182, 14.489879, 14.657731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.82, "volume": 60400, "typical_volume": 127795.0, "trend": 14.801075, "fair_value": 13.646684, "relative_strength": -11.413571, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.400019, "energy": 20.911628, "activity_lines": [ 14.763333, 14.707273, 14.508978, 14.660735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.51, "volume": 97100, "typical_volume": 126860.0, "trend": 14.814086, "fair_value": 13.659162, "relative_strength": -12.827934, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.016137, "energy": 11.76271, "activity_lines": [ 14.674667, 14.688727, 14.504454, 14.641956 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.72, "volume": 58600, "typical_volume": 124235.0, "trend": 14.821565, "fair_value": 13.67457, "relative_strength": -10.493493, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.957366, "energy": 10.760077, "activity_lines": [ 14.674667, 14.699636, 14.528739, 14.635886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.57, "volume": 128100, "typical_volume": 121115.0, "trend": 14.815798, "fair_value": 13.696996, "relative_strength": -13.538091, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.723275, "energy": 11.004694, "activity_lines": [ 14.629333, 14.677091, 14.542881, 14.619656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }