{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ff86643-595b-478a-8478-db2530568b32", "symbol": "GSAT", "name": "Globalstar, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.374, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.9, "architecture_energy": 56.635, "architecture_maturity": 57.412, "architecture_confidence": 61.678, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.04, "rotation_up": 47.46, "upward_expansion": 77.52, "deceleration": 72.95, "rotation_down": 28.42, "downward_expansion": 8.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.717333, 81.066364, 81.064048, 78.017505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 83.4, "trend_reference": 73.307333, "distance_from_trend": 0.137676, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.513814, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.348382, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.98617, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.446661, "excess_performance": 0.259207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.137676, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092976, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.348382, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.377205, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.179862, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.267135, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.446661, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.526158, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5485809, "relative_activity": 0.757521, "balance": 0.526158, "dry_up": 0.770929, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027343, "annualized_volatility": 0.375324, "from_high_reference": -0.017089, "from_low_reference": 2.42224 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.307333, "fair_value_reference": 35.513814, "structural_low": 53.67, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.015152, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.015146, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.246762, "worst_return": -0.30404, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.245465, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.222409, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.33012, "worst_return": -0.339731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.156863, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.181631, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.316157, "worst_return": -0.392045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"activity_lines": [ 80.316, 81.010545, 79.453048, 75.543097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 79.18, "volume": 5226397, "typical_volume": 6850349.6, "trend": 71.346333, "fair_value": 34.273365, "relative_strength": 21.663928, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.107299, "energy": 59.780713, "activity_lines": [ 79.889333, 80.587455, 79.804619, 76.084903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 78.93, "volume": 4867747, "typical_volume": 6944290.05, "trend": 71.881, "fair_value": 34.675481, "relative_strength": 21.455166, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.227976, "energy": 36.661393, "activity_lines": [ 79.511333, 80.171818, 80.051857, 76.574172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.38, "volume": 6751679, "typical_volume": 7140047.2, "trend": 72.527333, "fair_value": 35.096506, "relative_strength": 25.586476, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.37639, "energy": 52.111442, "activity_lines": [ 80.715333, 80.620727, 80.61581, 77.316043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.4, "volume": 5485809, "typical_volume": 7241788.1, "trend": 73.307333, "fair_value": 35.513814, "relative_strength": 17.98617, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.900367, "energy": 56.635025, "activity_lines": [ 81.717333, 81.066364, 81.064048, 78.017505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }