{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2008c8fc-42ea-41d4-a669-0c51cbc783b5",
    "symbol": "MANG",
    "name": "Mangold Fondkommission AB",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -72.508,
    "architecture_energy": 66.22,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.934,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.518,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.18,
        "rotation_up": 15.87,
        "upward_expansion": 13.41,
        "deceleration": 39.31,
        "rotation_down": 65.11,
        "downward_expansion": 86.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1692.0,
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        1744.095238,
        1765.956989
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1660.0,
    "trend_reference": 1793.0,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.074177,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2145.127172,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.226153,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.297926,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.082873,
    "excess_performance": -0.144367,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074177,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040663,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226153,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008448,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212979,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042781,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082873,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.515991,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 344,
      "relative_activity": 4.667571,
      "balance": 0.515991,
      "dry_up": 1.445047,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037998,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.317984,
      "from_high_reference": -0.284483,
      "from_low_reference": 0.012195
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1793.0,
      "fair_value_reference": 2145.127172,
      "structural_low": 1640.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.005866,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.447368,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009191,
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        "worst_return": -0.239583,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.191686,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sample_count": 7,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -18.486205,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 1820.333333,
        "fair_value": 2165.981362,
        "relative_strength": -18.118323,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 66.702742,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1700.0,
        "volume": 33,
        "typical_volume": 63.1,
        "trend": 1810.333333,
        "fair_value": 2158.818156,
        "relative_strength": -17.955057,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.75898,
        "energy": 68.434761,
        "activity_lines": [
          1697.333333,
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          1761.619048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1730.0,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 61.6,
        "trend": 1803.0,
        "fair_value": 2152.038039,
        "relative_strength": -17.09178,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.834513,
        "energy": 57.363948,
        "activity_lines": [
          1707.333333,
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          1756.142857,
          1775.182796
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1660.0,
        "volume": 344,
        "typical_volume": 73.7,
        "trend": 1793.0,
        "fair_value": 2145.127172,
        "relative_strength": -21.297926,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.508292,
        "energy": 66.21986,
        "activity_lines": [
          1692.0,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}