{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2009d734-15af-44b0-b05d-ffca4c9794ba", "symbol": "CRRX", "name": "CareRx Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.709, "architecture_energy": 17.105, "architecture_maturity": 69.732, "architecture_confidence": 65.373, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.22, "rotation_up": 30.33, "upward_expansion": 19.22, "deceleration": 43.82, "rotation_down": 24.83, "downward_expansion": 53.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.451333, 3.417121, 3.417499, 3.481526 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3.37, "trend_reference": 3.578602, "distance_from_trend": -0.058292, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.580505, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.305946, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.208466, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.11769, "excess_performance": -0.238111, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058292, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027286, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.305946, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095118, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152085, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065437, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.11769, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.510984, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97500, "relative_activity": 0.887776, "balance": 0.510984, "dry_up": 0.502163, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05534, "annualized_volatility": 0.288217, "from_high_reference": -0.152983, "from_low_reference": 0.193349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.578602, "fair_value_reference": 2.580505, "structural_low": 3.130615, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.018634, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.033247, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.192592, "worst_return": -0.248021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.084352, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.067265, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.131387, "worst_return": -0.318408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.074206, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.076931, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.547445, "worst_return": -0.396476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-13.207045, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.298984, "energy": 69.80068, "activity_lines": [ 3.238839, 3.305836, 3.45392, 3.545079 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.48, "volume": 5300, "typical_volume": 131655.0, "trend": 3.639213, "fair_value": 2.538993, "relative_strength": -10.125816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.458093, "energy": 39.428982, "activity_lines": [ 3.324777, 3.322728, 3.44625, 3.534843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.5, "volume": 44800, "typical_volume": 127590.0, "trend": 3.633179, "fair_value": 2.547174, "relative_strength": -9.621037, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.60696, "energy": 23.72249, "activity_lines": [ 3.400716, 3.346842, 3.442196, 3.525861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.38, "volume": 44000, "typical_volume": 124250.0, "trend": 3.617207, "fair_value": 2.554965, "relative_strength": -12.534779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.620973, "energy": 26.128465, "activity_lines": [ 3.416004, 3.35218, 3.428236, 3.509527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.38, "volume": 27400, "typical_volume": 118545.0, "trend": 3.602225, "fair_value": 2.562755, "relative_strength": -12.657957, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.007375, "energy": 25.346155, "activity_lines": [ 3.414667, 3.359307, 3.416226, 3.494223 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.63, "volume": 51700, "typical_volume": 111675.0, "trend": 3.594581, "fair_value": 2.572778, "relative_strength": -5.816827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.037518, "energy": 14.885982, "activity_lines": [ 3.486, 3.413138, 3.429313, 3.496015 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.37, "volume": 97500, "typical_volume": 109825.0, "trend": 3.578602, "fair_value": 2.580505, "relative_strength": -15.208466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.708505, "energy": 17.104621, "activity_lines": [ 3.451333, 3.417121, 3.417499, 3.481526 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }