{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2016b2f7-4365-4f76-b7cd-45dff108449b", "symbol": "300249", "name": "Yimikang Tech.Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.366, "architecture_energy": 72.521, "architecture_maturity": 20.028, "architecture_confidence": 87.176, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.15, "rotation_up": 11.74, "upward_expansion": 18.99, "deceleration": 34.27, "rotation_down": 72.36, "downward_expansion": 89.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.746667, 13.809273, 15.065667, 15.642495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.9, "trend_reference": 16.132, "distance_from_trend": -0.200347, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.04891, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.070636, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.917584, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.168279, "excess_performance": -0.175678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.200347, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003275, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.070636, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.517888, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219176, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18081, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.168279, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.430139, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75429631, "relative_activity": 0.628263, "balance": 0.430139, "dry_up": 0.848735, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176327, "annualized_volatility": 0.68598, "from_high_reference": -0.391509, "from_low_reference": 0.167421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.132, "fair_value_reference": 12.04891, "structural_low": 11.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.019027, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": 0.014049, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.245942, "worst_return": -0.330743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.051506, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.068523, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.375812, "worst_return": -0.150812, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.111657, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.081164, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 1.823795, "worst_return": -0.468354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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39.421509, "activity_lines": [ 15.133333, 15.516, 16.245048, 16.423656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.09, "volume": 111701954, "typical_volume": 134853047.15, "trend": 16.286333, "fair_value": 12.011218, "relative_strength": -25.217917, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.440494, "energy": 66.274338, "activity_lines": [ 13.969333, 14.804909, 15.810191, 16.148688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.73, "volume": 80558661, "typical_volume": 127711301.55, "trend": 16.189667, "fair_value": 12.026218, "relative_strength": -25.819478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.116557, "energy": 74.007292, "activity_lines": [ 13.036667, 14.143636, 15.368619, 15.854731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.9, "volume": 75429631, "typical_volume": 120060650.6, "trend": 16.132, "fair_value": 12.04891, "relative_strength": -21.917584, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.366168, "energy": 72.520856, "activity_lines": [ 12.746667, 13.809273, 15.065667, 15.642495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }