{ "ticker": { "uuid": "201a2f4b-267d-4a0e-99c1-18023e3ea304", "symbol": "001356", "name": "Fuling Technology Co., LTD", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.943, "architecture_energy": 57.14, "architecture_maturity": 63.264, "architecture_confidence": 87.639, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.35, "rotation_up": 27.96, "upward_expansion": 10.68, "deceleration": 60.97, "rotation_down": 49.04, "downward_expansion": 81.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.53, 8.59299, 9.277369, 9.877877 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.62, "trend_reference": 10.754951, "distance_from_trend": -0.198509, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.178103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.345885, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.665401, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.31533, "excess_performance": -0.322729, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198509, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.345885, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154336, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326654, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012446, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.31533, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.094483, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20075246, "relative_activity": 1.504953, "balance": 1.094483, "dry_up": 1.412307, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079885, "annualized_volatility": 0.312385, "from_high_reference": -0.46125, "from_low_reference": 0.061576 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.754951, "fair_value_reference": 13.178103, "structural_low": 8.12, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.16, "volume": 17850577, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.59, "volume": 22914227, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.62, "volume": 20075246, "typical_volume": 13339446.55, "trend": 10.754951, "fair_value": 13.178103, "relative_strength": -32.665401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.942573, "energy": 57.139761, "activity_lines": [ 8.53, 8.59299, 9.277369, 9.877877 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }