{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2020e62e-e84f-4f77-9ea9-1949b682712c", "symbol": "AEJ", "name": "Amundi MSCI AC Asia Pacific Ex Japan UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.376, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.81, "architecture_energy": 23.651, "architecture_maturity": 65.868, "architecture_confidence": 79.864, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.86, "rotation_up": 18.87, "upward_expansion": 52.8, "deceleration": 93.98, "rotation_down": 33.88, "downward_expansion": 18.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 97.210001, 98.561819, 98.05062, 95.673657 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 98.169998, "trend_reference": 92.539, "distance_from_trend": 0.06085, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.170705, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.360247, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.093995, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.14859, "excess_performance": -0.022302, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06085, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076832, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.360247, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066544, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02094, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111904, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.14859, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.881595, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17396, "relative_activity": 0.915117, "balance": 0.881595, "dry_up": 1.171645, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042227, "annualized_volatility": 0.218984, "from_high_reference": -0.065137, "from_low_reference": 0.348674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 92.539, "fair_value_reference": 72.170705, "structural_low": 80.760002, "invalidation": "A 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"energy": 59.455682, "activity_lines": [ 101.534668, 100.729274, 97.127572, 94.259463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 95.510002, "volume": 22257, "typical_volume": 20441.6, "trend": 90.947667, "fair_value": 71.446346, "relative_strength": -1.174143, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.958067, "energy": 37.497906, "activity_lines": [ 99.472668, 99.932547, 97.303286, 94.590818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 97.050003, "volume": 17420, "typical_volume": 18529.5, "trend": 91.564334, "fair_value": 71.677308, "relative_strength": 0.485778, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.701603, "energy": 25.132217, "activity_lines": [ 98.236002, 99.464911, 97.601287, 94.984517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 96.120003, "volume": 32017, "typical_volume": 19384.0, "trend": 92.044, "fair_value": 71.912564, "relative_strength": -1.223831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.450642, "energy": 23.412187, "activity_lines": [ 97.212003, 98.815275, 97.754144, 95.278431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 98.169998, "volume": 17396, "typical_volume": 19009.6, "trend": 92.539, "fair_value": 72.170705, "relative_strength": -2.093995, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.810027, "energy": 23.6513, "activity_lines": [ 97.210001, 98.561819, 98.05062, 95.673657 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }