{ "ticker": { "uuid": "202ef161-59cd-4d25-bff9-2caab0b1fa22", "symbol": "GEC", "name": "Global Education Communities Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.841, "architecture_energy": 38.53, "architecture_maturity": 70.344, "architecture_confidence": 86.889, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.45, "rotation_up": 23.33, "upward_expansion": 4.58, "deceleration": 56.68, "rotation_down": 47.19, "downward_expansion": 75.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.286727, 0.29419, 0.303419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.29, "trend_reference": 0.319667, "distance_from_trend": -0.092805, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.31641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.083468, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.771038, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.236842, "excess_performance": -0.357263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092805, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068932, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.083468, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00491, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.25771, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018175, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.236842, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.791855, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70600, "relative_activity": 2.329649, "balance": 0.791855, "dry_up": 1.088929, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074271, "annualized_volatility": 0.516475, "from_high_reference": -0.395833, "from_low_reference": 0.115385 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.319667, "fair_value_reference": 0.31641, "structural_low": 0.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.033333, "positive_rate": 0.268293, "directional_follow_through": 0.585366, "median_excess_return": -0.036986, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 0.6875, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.067873, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.088234, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.296296, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.064816, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.736842, "worst_return": -0.40625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.146635, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.126432, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.407407, "worst_return": -0.325, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-10-21", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.346154, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-05-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102564, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.083333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.138889, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.3125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.136364, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.3, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.357143, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153846, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.181818, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.131579, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.147059, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.35, "volume": 245100, "typical_volume": 47005.0, "trend": 0.422, "fair_value": 0.593077, "relative_strength": -24.394602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.521709, "energy": 45.689598, "activity_lines": [ 0.383333, 0.389273, 0.396524, 0.405355 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 0.35, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 45110.0, "trend": 0.417667, "fair_value": 0.591603, "relative_strength": -23.672519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.620226, "energy": 71.182993, "activity_lines": [ 0.37, 0.381273, 0.391667, 0.40071 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 0.41, "volume": 30500, "typical_volume": 44980.0, "trend": 0.415, "fair_value": 0.589872, "relative_strength": -12.941477, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.259389, "energy": 35.031057, "activity_lines": [ 0.38, 0.385273, 0.392714, 0.400215 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 0.41, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 43455.0, "trend": 0.412667, "fair_value": 0.588013, "relative_strength": -10.190831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.793327, "energy": 23.131948, "activity_lines": [ 0.389333, 0.389091, 0.393762, 0.399892 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 0.39, "volume": 90000, "typical_volume": 45230.0, "trend": 0.409667, "fair_value": 0.586282, "relative_strength": -15.984908, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.886068, "energy": 14.501915, "activity_lines": [ 0.391333, 0.389091, 0.393048, 0.39843 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 0.38, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 43825.0, "trend": 0.407333, "fair_value": 0.584295, "relative_strength": -13.95733, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.06113, "energy": 22.896673, "activity_lines": [ 0.390667, 0.387455, 0.391429, 0.396516 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 0.38, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 42670.0, "trend": 0.404, "fair_value": 0.582372, "relative_strength": -12.038234, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.424537, "energy": 16.94433, "activity_lines": [ 0.388, 0.385818, 0.389905, 0.394753 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 0.36, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 42120.0, "trend": 0.400667, "fair_value": 0.580192, "relative_strength": -14.620673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.985175, "energy": 48.453883, "activity_lines": [ 0.376667, 0.380909, 0.386619, 0.391914 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 0.38, "volume": 19500, "typical_volume": 41120.0, "trend": 0.398333, "fair_value": 0.578013, "relative_strength": -10.183533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.317372, "energy": 46.743706, "activity_lines": [ 0.375333, 0.380364, 0.385429, 0.390581 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 0.4, "volume": 30000, "typical_volume": 39245.0, "trend": 0.396667, "fair_value": 0.57609, "relative_strength": -3.169431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.789258, "energy": 22.532416, "activity_lines": [ 0.382667, 0.383818, 0.386286, 0.390688 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 0.36, "volume": 99800, "typical_volume": 43485.0, "trend": 0.394667, "fair_value": 0.574231, "relative_strength": -10.702095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.945014, "energy": 36.332016, "activity_lines": [ 0.376, 0.38, 0.383381, 0.388323 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 0.39, "volume": 32000, "typical_volume": 42060.0, "trend": 0.394667, "fair_value": 0.572372, "relative_strength": -8.071394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.889512, "energy": 16.463543, "activity_lines": [ 0.380667, 0.381455, 0.383571, 0.388022 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 0.36, "volume": 10500, "typical_volume": 40435.0, "trend": 0.393, "fair_value": 0.570449, "relative_strength": -13.978052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.409729, "energy": 25.579201, "activity_lines": [ 0.374667, 0.376727, 0.381, 0.385785 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 0.36, "volume": 9000, "typical_volume": 40130.0, "trend": 0.390333, "fair_value": 0.568526, "relative_strength": -15.576845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.013383, "energy": 47.862575, "activity_lines": [ 0.368667, 0.372909, 0.378619, 0.383656 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 0.33, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 38375.0, "trend": 0.388, "fair_value": 0.566346, "relative_strength": -21.68414, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.49432, "energy": 64.17913, "activity_lines": [ 0.354, 0.364545, 0.373571, 0.379763 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 0.34, "volume": 32600, "typical_volume": 37675.0, "trend": 0.386, "fair_value": 0.564359, "relative_strength": -20.012244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.028591, "energy": 73.713289, "activity_lines": [ 0.347333, 0.359091, 0.36981, 0.376667 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 0.33, "volume": 24500, "typical_volume": 38220.0, "trend": 0.383333, "fair_value": 0.562115, "relative_strength": -21.220649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.513164, "energy": 75.716137, "activity_lines": [ 0.338667, 0.352545, 0.365286, 0.373054 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 0.33, "volume": 27200, "typical_volume": 38860.0, "trend": 0.381, "fair_value": 0.56, "relative_strength": -21.194475, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.573186, "energy": 78.474431, "activity_lines": [ 0.334, 0.346909, 0.361095, 0.369613 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 0.34, "volume": 113500, "typical_volume": 43935.0, "trend": 0.378667, "fair_value": 0.557692, "relative_strength": -19.661114, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.091288, "energy": 59.879895, "activity_lines": [ 0.334667, 0.343636, 0.35819, 0.366968 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 0.32, "volume": 27500, "typical_volume": 41110.0, "trend": 0.375667, "fair_value": 0.555513, "relative_strength": -24.130596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.349537, "energy": 49.665722, "activity_lines": [ 0.33, 0.337455, 0.353667, 0.363183 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 0.3, "volume": 23500, "typical_volume": 30030.0, "trend": 0.372, "fair_value": 0.553333, "relative_strength": -28.122029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.226969, "energy": 55.204317, "activity_lines": [ 0.319333, 0.329091, 0.347619, 0.358301 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 0.3, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30030.0, "trend": 0.368333, "fair_value": 0.551218, "relative_strength": -27.480892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.49889, "energy": 57.287018, "activity_lines": [ 0.311333, 0.321818, 0.34181, 0.353656 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 0.31, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 28755.0, "trend": 0.365333, "fair_value": 0.549231, "relative_strength": -24.128151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.3361, "energy": 68.090289, "activity_lines": [ 0.308667, 0.318, 0.33719, 0.349892 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 0.32, "volume": 7500, "typical_volume": 29130.0, "trend": 0.362667, "fair_value": 0.547564, "relative_strength": -21.874965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.183577, "energy": 65.047189, "activity_lines": [ 0.310667, 0.316909, 0.334, 0.346968 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 0.33, "volume": 303500, "typical_volume": 39805.0, "trend": 0.360333, "fair_value": 0.545513, "relative_strength": -18.638066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.112922, "energy": 42.253563, "activity_lines": [ 0.317333, 0.318364, 0.33219, 0.34486 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 0.35, "volume": 176000, "typical_volume": 47605.0, "trend": 0.359333, "fair_value": 0.543654, "relative_strength": -12.819243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.08578, "energy": 18.450365, "activity_lines": [ 0.33, 0.323455, 0.332571, 0.344194 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 0.35, "volume": 166700, "typical_volume": 55940.0, "trend": 0.357667, "fair_value": 0.541859, "relative_strength": -13.222923, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.944577, "energy": 19.943442, "activity_lines": [ 0.339333, 0.328364, 0.333095, 0.343591 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 0.32, "volume": 63000, "typical_volume": 58590.0, "trend": 0.355, "fair_value": 0.539615, "relative_strength": -20.65692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.428959, "energy": 21.838822, "activity_lines": [ 0.335333, 0.327455, 0.330905, 0.341161 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 0.34, "volume": 16500, "typical_volume": 58440.0, "trend": 0.353, "fair_value": 0.537372, "relative_strength": -15.592101, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.526121, "energy": 17.81137, "activity_lines": [ 0.337333, 0.330364, 0.33081, 0.340194 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 0.37, "volume": 34000, "typical_volume": 58640.0, "trend": 0.352, "fair_value": 0.535064, "relative_strength": -8.337934, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 7.87663, "energy": 14.713205, "activity_lines": [ 0.348, 0.338727, 0.333762, 0.34129 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 0.37, "volume": 6500, "typical_volume": 53975.0, "trend": 0.352667, "fair_value": 0.532756, "relative_strength": -8.209918, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.127645, "energy": 25.634749, "activity_lines": [ 0.356, 0.346182, 0.336857, 0.342452 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 0.39, "volume": 168000, "typical_volume": 60775.0, "trend": 0.354, "fair_value": 0.530513, "relative_strength": -3.304247, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.674315, "energy": 52.332636, "activity_lines": [ 0.369333, 0.356, 0.34181, 0.34486 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 0.4, "volume": 517500, "typical_volume": 86125.0, "trend": 0.353667, "fair_value": 0.528333, "relative_strength": -1.348372, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.3683, "energy": 65.080493, "activity_lines": [ 0.383333, 0.366, 0.347714, 0.347828 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 0.4, "volume": 196500, "typical_volume": 95500.0, "trend": 0.353333, "fair_value": 0.526026, "relative_strength": -1.640942, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.307437, "energy": 67.605168, "activity_lines": [ 0.392, 0.374364, 0.353429, 0.350817 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 0.37, "volume": 61900, "typical_volume": 98570.0, "trend": 0.352667, "fair_value": 0.52359, "relative_strength": -7.208235, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.354028, "energy": 55.15601, "activity_lines": [ 0.386667, 0.375818, 0.356095, 0.351892 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 0.36, "volume": 61000, "typical_volume": 99990.0, "trend": 0.352, "fair_value": 0.520833, "relative_strength": -8.875113, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.189586, "energy": 37.470071, "activity_lines": [ 0.378, 0.374727, 0.357619, 0.352366 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 0.36, "volume": 27000, "typical_volume": 100115.0, "trend": 0.351333, "fair_value": 0.518077, "relative_strength": -9.257583, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.885691, "energy": 21.903737, "activity_lines": [ 0.37, 0.373455, 0.359048, 0.352882 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 0.35, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": 99055.0, "trend": 0.351, "fair_value": 0.515321, "relative_strength": -11.357823, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.217374, "energy": 20.542174, "activity_lines": [ 0.360667, 0.370182, 0.359381, 0.352796 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 0.36, "volume": 15500, "typical_volume": 94155.0, "trend": 0.350333, "fair_value": 0.512628, "relative_strength": -9.923081, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.036874, "energy": 20.762681, "activity_lines": [ 0.358, 0.368182, 0.360571, 0.353376 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 0.36, "volume": 46600, "typical_volume": 95110.0, "trend": 0.349, "fair_value": 0.509872, "relative_strength": -10.200633, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.295734, "energy": 19.425373, "activity_lines": [ 0.358, 0.365818, 0.361667, 0.354 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 0.36, "volume": 15800, "typical_volume": 94725.0, "trend": 0.349, "fair_value": 0.507179, "relative_strength": -9.18342, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.154638, "energy": 17.589419, "activity_lines": [ 0.358667, 0.363636, 0.362571, 0.35471 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 0.4, "volume": 28400, "typical_volume": 96145.0, "trend": 0.349333, "fair_value": 0.504551, "relative_strength": 1.417983, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.231321, "energy": 40.30681, "activity_lines": [ 0.372667, 0.368909, 0.367, 0.358 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 0.36, "volume": 8000, "typical_volume": 96295.0, "trend": 0.349333, "fair_value": 0.501923, "relative_strength": -7.208247, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.448139, "energy": 23.874034, "activity_lines": [ 0.370667, 0.366727, 0.367143, 0.358688 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 0.34, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": 96220.0, "trend": 0.348667, "fair_value": 0.499359, "relative_strength": -10.402975, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.55, "energy": 5.624394, "activity_lines": [ 0.361333, 0.361636, 0.365143, 0.358086 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 0.33, "volume": 20500, "typical_volume": 82070.0, "trend": 0.348667, "fair_value": 0.496795, "relative_strength": -12.189139, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.294014, "energy": 13.293742, "activity_lines": [ 0.35, 0.355818, 0.362095, 0.356882 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 0.33, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 73270.0, "trend": 0.348333, "fair_value": 0.494038, "relative_strength": -13.020516, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.373875, "energy": 36.095891, "activity_lines": [ 0.340667, 0.350727, 0.359048, 0.355677 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 0.36, "volume": 72000, "typical_volume": 68535.0, "trend": 0.349333, "fair_value": 0.49141, "relative_strength": -5.497833, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.178645, "energy": 27.145483, "activity_lines": [ 0.343333, 0.351636, 0.358952, 0.35643 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 0.3, "volume": 20500, "typical_volume": 66410.0, "trend": 0.348333, "fair_value": 0.48859, "relative_strength": -22.908405, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.598562, "energy": 56.872938, "activity_lines": [ 0.328667, 0.341636, 0.353095, 0.353247 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 0.3, "volume": 4000, "typical_volume": 65785.0, "trend": 0.347, "fair_value": 0.485962, "relative_strength": -22.422936, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.907815, "energy": 63.527017, "activity_lines": [ 0.318, 0.332545, 0.347333, 0.350129 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 0.3, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 64085.0, "trend": 0.346333, "fair_value": 0.483269, "relative_strength": -22.28962, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.008266, "energy": 65.96733, "activity_lines": [ 0.31, 0.324545, 0.341762, 0.347097 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 0.31, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 63860.0, "trend": 0.346667, "fair_value": 0.480705, "relative_strength": -17.029097, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.727268, "energy": 75.856459, "activity_lines": [ 0.307333, 0.319455, 0.337476, 0.344753 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 0.32, "volume": 33500, "typical_volume": 57135.0, "trend": 0.347333, "fair_value": 0.478013, "relative_strength": -14.157533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.279328, "energy": 61.142716, "activity_lines": [ 0.309333, 0.317091, 0.334429, 0.343032 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 0.33, "volume": 11500, "typical_volume": 31835.0, "trend": 0.348, "fair_value": 0.475641, "relative_strength": -13.99781, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.628403, "energy": 36.418088, "activity_lines": [ 0.317333, 0.318, 0.332667, 0.341914 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 0.28, "volume": 24500, "typical_volume": 23235.0, "trend": 0.346667, "fair_value": 0.472949, "relative_strength": -27.281647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.035025, "energy": 43.954209, "activity_lines": [ 0.306667, 0.310364, 0.326476, 0.337527 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 0.28, "volume": 8100, "typical_volume": 20545.0, "trend": 0.345, "fair_value": 0.470064, "relative_strength": -26.790907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.654974, "energy": 49.217064, "activity_lines": [ 0.297333, 0.303818, 0.320857, 0.333226 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 0.32, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 17745.0, "trend": 0.344, "fair_value": 0.467885, "relative_strength": -13.611469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.541319, "energy": 39.200037, "activity_lines": [ 0.302667, 0.305455, 0.319476, 0.331613 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 0.32, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 16460.0, "trend": 0.343, "fair_value": 0.465833, "relative_strength": -15.967071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.882822, "energy": 35.323842, "activity_lines": [ 0.307333, 0.307273, 0.318286, 0.330065 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 0.26, "volume": 70600, "typical_volume": 19690.0, "trend": 0.341, "fair_value": 0.463269, "relative_strength": -31.903567, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.704817, "energy": 63.568252, "activity_lines": [ 0.292, 0.298909, 0.311571, 0.32471 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 0.3, "volume": 34000, "typical_volume": 20615.0, "trend": 0.339667, "fair_value": 0.461218, "relative_strength": -21.063423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.355792, "energy": 34.748139, "activity_lines": [ 0.294667, 0.298545, 0.309095, 0.322065 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 0.3, "volume": 87000, "typical_volume": 22635.0, "trend": 0.337333, "fair_value": 0.459038, "relative_strength": -21.135128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.123332, "energy": 35.325924, "activity_lines": [ 0.296, 0.298182, 0.306905, 0.319505 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 0.26, "volume": 40500, "typical_volume": 23870.0, "trend": 0.333667, "fair_value": 0.456667, "relative_strength": -31.770081, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.449392, "energy": 66.370978, "activity_lines": [ 0.282667, 0.290545, 0.30119, 0.314516 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 0.27, "volume": 50100, "typical_volume": 24955.0, "trend": 0.329667, "fair_value": 0.454487, "relative_strength": -29.27094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.185607, "energy": 44.886611, "activity_lines": [ 0.276667, 0.285636, 0.296905, 0.310409 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 0.28, "volume": 24900, "typical_volume": 25800.0, "trend": 0.325667, "fair_value": 0.452244, "relative_strength": -24.845595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.317499, "energy": 43.535719, "activity_lines": [ 0.277333, 0.283455, 0.29419, 0.307204 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 0.28, "volume": 30500, "typical_volume": 27025.0, "trend": 0.321667, "fair_value": 0.450192, "relative_strength": -23.413478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.181859, "energy": 41.658278, "activity_lines": [ 0.276667, 0.282182, 0.291857, 0.304258 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 0.27, "volume": 4000, "typical_volume": 26200.0, "trend": 0.318333, "fair_value": 0.448077, "relative_strength": -26.961986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.385518, "energy": 38.521471, "activity_lines": [ 0.274, 0.279091, 0.288857, 0.300925 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 0.26, "volume": 250000, "typical_volume": 38700.0, "trend": 0.315, "fair_value": 0.445897, "relative_strength": -29.365088, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.850322, "energy": 36.995051, "activity_lines": [ 0.27, 0.274364, 0.28519, 0.297161 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 0.23, "volume": 170500, "typical_volume": 43625.0, "trend": 0.310667, "fair_value": 0.443526, "relative_strength": -38.282793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.531452, "energy": 48.696763, "activity_lines": [ 0.256, 0.265273, 0.279, 0.291677 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 0.24, "volume": 60000, "typical_volume": 45600.0, "trend": 0.307, "fair_value": 0.441154, "relative_strength": -35.495513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.641177, "energy": 53.129298, "activity_lines": [ 0.248, 0.259636, 0.274381, 0.287118 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 0.23, "volume": 48000, "typical_volume": 47800.0, "trend": 0.302667, "fair_value": 0.438333, "relative_strength": -37.687333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.519311, "energy": 60.904155, "activity_lines": [ 0.239333, 0.252545, 0.269095, 0.282151 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 0.18, "volume": 214600, "typical_volume": 58530.0, "trend": 0.296667, "fair_value": 0.435128, "relative_strength": -49.826732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.44138, "energy": 77.328756, "activity_lines": [ 0.217333, 0.237636, 0.259381, 0.274237 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 0.19, "volume": 63500, "typical_volume": 61605.0, "trend": 0.291, "fair_value": 0.432179, "relative_strength": -44.948182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.122272, "energy": 75.272758, "activity_lines": [ 0.204667, 0.226727, 0.25119, 0.267355 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 0.2, "volume": 19500, "typical_volume": 60905.0, "trend": 0.284333, "fair_value": 0.429423, "relative_strength": -41.937646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.92959, "energy": 73.618823, "activity_lines": [ 0.2, 0.218909, 0.244524, 0.261484 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 0.18, "volume": 122300, "typical_volume": 66445.0, "trend": 0.278333, "fair_value": 0.426603, "relative_strength": -47.804794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.507842, "energy": 78.497383, "activity_lines": [ 0.190667, 0.208727, 0.236524, 0.254753 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 0.19, "volume": 12700, "typical_volume": 65855.0, "trend": 0.273333, "fair_value": 0.423654, "relative_strength": -43.703646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.381933, "energy": 68.195465, "activity_lines": [ 0.188667, 0.202182, 0.23019, 0.249054 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 0.21, "volume": 48200, "typical_volume": 67860.0, "trend": 0.269333, "fair_value": 0.420962, "relative_strength": -37.958052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.817149, "energy": 48.986582, "activity_lines": [ 0.196, 0.200909, 0.22619, 0.244968 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 0.24, "volume": 64400, "typical_volume": 70830.0, "trend": 0.266333, "fair_value": 0.418654, "relative_strength": -29.636543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.447042, "energy": 31.907624, "activity_lines": [ 0.211333, 0.206182, 0.225381, 0.243075 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 0.19, "volume": 62100, "typical_volume": 73870.0, "trend": 0.260667, "fair_value": 0.415833, "relative_strength": -43.773712, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.986141, "energy": 29.628144, "activity_lines": [ 0.206667, 0.202727, 0.22019, 0.238151 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 0.19, "volume": 23700, "typical_volume": 71525.0, "trend": 0.257, "fair_value": 0.412885, "relative_strength": -42.810579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.960882, "energy": 27.95463, "activity_lines": [ 0.202667, 0.2, 0.215619, 0.233591 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 0.23, "volume": 145000, "typical_volume": 77075.0, "trend": 0.254667, "fair_value": 0.410321, "relative_strength": -30.114359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.937743, "energy": 20.172691, "activity_lines": [ 0.211333, 0.205455, 0.21519, 0.231849 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 0.22, "volume": 128600, "typical_volume": 79155.0, "trend": 0.252, "fair_value": 0.407885, "relative_strength": -31.628404, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.865462, "energy": 22.358167, "activity_lines": [ 0.214, 0.209091, 0.214143, 0.229613 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 0.22, "volume": 116900, "typical_volume": 82975.0, "trend": 0.249, "fair_value": 0.405192, "relative_strength": -31.560582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.966926, "energy": 15.912887, "activity_lines": [ 0.216, 0.212, 0.213476, 0.227548 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 0.22, "volume": 143500, "typical_volume": 87645.0, "trend": 0.245667, "fair_value": 0.402436, "relative_strength": -28.927722, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.809904, "energy": 14.836923, "activity_lines": [ 0.219333, 0.214364, 0.213, 0.225677 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 0.18, "volume": 137500, "typical_volume": 93275.0, "trend": 0.240667, "fair_value": 0.399487, "relative_strength": -40.484368, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.901793, "energy": 26.199262, "activity_lines": [ 0.207333, 0.209091, 0.208952, 0.221441 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 0.19, "volume": 144800, "typical_volume": 98990.0, "trend": 0.237667, "fair_value": 0.396667, "relative_strength": -37.229576, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.643281, "energy": 34.532655, "activity_lines": [ 0.199333, 0.205636, 0.206333, 0.218172 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 0.2, "volume": 5100, "typical_volume": 99045.0, "trend": 0.235, "fair_value": 0.394103, "relative_strength": -32.296868, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.334871, "energy": 39.218492, "activity_lines": [ 0.197333, 0.204, 0.205095, 0.215742 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 0.19, "volume": 101000, "typical_volume": 91595.0, "trend": 0.230667, "fair_value": 0.39141, "relative_strength": -30.241221, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.303649, "energy": 48.865948, "activity_lines": [ 0.193333, 0.200727, 0.203238, 0.212839 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 0.17, "volume": 126600, "typical_volume": 89400.0, "trend": 0.225667, "fair_value": 0.388654, "relative_strength": -37.63825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.413335, "energy": 56.419712, "activity_lines": [ 0.184667, 0.194727, 0.19981, 0.208925 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 0.19, "volume": 18500, "typical_volume": 87325.0, "trend": 0.223333, "fair_value": 0.385897, "relative_strength": -31.051611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.270099, "energy": 36.619917, "activity_lines": [ 0.186, 0.192727, 0.198571, 0.206624 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 0.16, "volume": 25700, "typical_volume": 86210.0, "trend": 0.218667, "fair_value": 0.383141, "relative_strength": -42.187194, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.261561, "energy": 55.190366, "activity_lines": [ 0.176667, 0.185273, 0.194714, 0.202538 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 0.21, "volume": 382700, "typical_volume": 94615.0, "trend": 0.215667, "fair_value": 0.380962, "relative_strength": -24.108911, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.381045, "energy": 29.440312, "activity_lines": [ 0.186, 0.188182, 0.195952, 0.201978 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 0.24, "volume": 188000, "typical_volume": 100840.0, "trend": 0.215, "fair_value": 0.378974, "relative_strength": -13.377571, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.293348, "energy": 8.218937, "activity_lines": [ 0.204667, 0.196727, 0.199905, 0.203548 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 0.26, "volume": 265000, "typical_volume": 113115.0, "trend": 0.214667, "fair_value": 0.377308, "relative_strength": -7.398092, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.169954, "energy": 35.231908, "activity_lines": [ 0.226667, 0.208545, 0.205524, 0.206452 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 0.27, "volume": 161600, "typical_volume": 115080.0, "trend": 0.214333, "fair_value": 0.375449, "relative_strength": -2.507222, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.943475, "energy": 57.493751, "activity_lines": [ 0.246, 0.221455, 0.21181, 0.210022 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 0.3, "volume": 6200, "typical_volume": 114755.0, "trend": 0.215, "fair_value": 0.37391, "relative_strength": 8.370085, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.215897, "energy": 85.898611, "activity_lines": [ 0.27, 0.238182, 0.220524, 0.215548 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 0.28, "volume": 127600, "typical_volume": 118725.0, "trend": 0.215333, "fair_value": 0.372372, "relative_strength": 1.234375, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.343446, "energy": 82.742548, "activity_lines": [ 0.278, 0.249273, 0.22681, 0.219742 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 0.28, "volume": 88500, "typical_volume": 119930.0, "trend": 0.216, "fair_value": 0.370897, "relative_strength": 1.910833, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.843019, "energy": 82.869463, "activity_lines": [ 0.281333, 0.258909, 0.232762, 0.223914 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 0.27, "volume": 181100, "typical_volume": 125880.0, "trend": 0.217333, "fair_value": 0.369295, "relative_strength": -0.760988, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.559519, "energy": 70.128012, "activity_lines": [ 0.278667, 0.265091, 0.237571, 0.227398 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 0.3, "volume": 92500, "typical_volume": 129320.0, "trend": 0.219333, "fair_value": 0.367949, "relative_strength": 10.255457, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.864888, "energy": 55.103324, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.274909, 0.244857, 0.232731 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 0.32, "volume": 88600, "typical_volume": 126500.0, "trend": 0.222333, "fair_value": 0.366667, "relative_strength": 17.038222, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.033499, "energy": 59.981868, "activity_lines": [ 0.296667, 0.286364, 0.253524, 0.239226 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 0.41, "volume": 739200, "typical_volume": 157030.0, "trend": 0.23, "fair_value": 0.365321, "relative_strength": 49.556122, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.544696, "energy": 69.099434, "activity_lines": [ 0.336667, 0.311273, 0.270333, 0.251333 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 0.38, "volume": 24000, "typical_volume": 152385.0, "trend": 0.236333, "fair_value": 0.363782, "relative_strength": 36.958396, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.78329, "energy": 85.399861, "activity_lines": [ 0.358, 0.327091, 0.283381, 0.261011 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 0.35, "volume": 123300, "typical_volume": 151375.0, "trend": 0.241333, "fair_value": 0.361987, "relative_strength": 25.417807, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.562406, "energy": 80.589308, "activity_lines": [ 0.362667, 0.334909, 0.29281, 0.268344 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 0.32, "volume": 29500, "typical_volume": 145975.0, "trend": 0.246, "fair_value": 0.36, "relative_strength": 17.146171, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.290906, "energy": 59.446891, "activity_lines": [ 0.352, 0.335636, 0.298762, 0.273419 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 0.33, "volume": 171200, "typical_volume": 147295.0, "trend": 0.250667, "fair_value": 0.357949, "relative_strength": 18.145475, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.716246, "energy": 46.279837, "activity_lines": [ 0.343333, 0.337273, 0.305, 0.278839 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 0.4, "volume": 142500, "typical_volume": 154165.0, "trend": 0.257, "fair_value": 0.356731, "relative_strength": 42.447766, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.112326, "energy": 50.932673, "activity_lines": [ 0.357333, 0.351091, 0.317238, 0.288473 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 0.43, "volume": 1566400, "typical_volume": 227435.0, "trend": 0.263333, "fair_value": 0.355641, "relative_strength": 49.91717, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.855702, "energy": 58.245491, "activity_lines": [ 0.382, 0.368182, 0.331381, 0.299634 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 0.39, "volume": 1142600, "typical_volume": 278235.0, "trend": 0.27, "fair_value": 0.354423, "relative_strength": 34.445941, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.487008, "energy": 51.820493, "activity_lines": [ 0.39, 0.375273, 0.340571, 0.307806 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 0.4, "volume": 790100, "typical_volume": 316815.0, "trend": 0.277, "fair_value": 0.353205, "relative_strength": 35.657202, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.668928, "energy": 56.676196, "activity_lines": [ 0.398667, 0.382, 0.349667, 0.316194 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 0.37, "volume": 200100, "typical_volume": 325535.0, "trend": 0.281667, "fair_value": 0.351731, "relative_strength": 24.706289, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.387689, "energy": 46.287297, "activity_lines": [ 0.392, 0.381455, 0.354905, 0.322194 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 0.38, "volume": 48000, "typical_volume": 308800.0, "trend": 0.287, "fair_value": 0.350769, "relative_strength": 25.545756, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.044709, "energy": 38.466224, "activity_lines": [ 0.386, 0.381818, 0.360095, 0.328538 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 0.4, "volume": 507400, "typical_volume": 324770.0, "trend": 0.293, "fair_value": 0.349679, "relative_strength": 31.95591, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.251579, "energy": 36.402914, "activity_lines": [ 0.388, 0.386364, 0.366381, 0.335828 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 0.39, "volume": 635300, "typical_volume": 343285.0, "trend": 0.298667, "fair_value": 0.348718, "relative_strength": 25.566785, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.821261, "energy": 27.673547, "activity_lines": [ 0.388667, 0.388727, 0.370952, 0.342086 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 0.38, "volume": 249700, "typical_volume": 347690.0, "trend": 0.305333, "fair_value": 0.347821, "relative_strength": 24.397443, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.858651, "energy": 29.385382, "activity_lines": [ 0.386, 0.388545, 0.373952, 0.347333 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 0.38, "volume": 91300, "typical_volume": 351945.0, "trend": 0.311667, "fair_value": 0.346923, "relative_strength": 22.930291, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.617833, "energy": 27.935648, "activity_lines": [ 0.384667, 0.387273, 0.376429, 0.352151 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 0.39, "volume": 168000, "typical_volume": 353965.0, "trend": 0.318, "fair_value": 0.34641, "relative_strength": 24.82052, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.715131, "energy": 25.588206, "activity_lines": [ 0.386, 0.386909, 0.379476, 0.357204 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 0.39, "volume": 13700, "typical_volume": 350225.0, "trend": 0.324667, "fair_value": 0.345705, "relative_strength": 24.888061, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.200363, "energy": 24.479676, "activity_lines": [ 0.386667, 0.386727, 0.382, 0.361849 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 0.37, "volume": 17500, "typical_volume": 342045.0, "trend": 0.331333, "fair_value": 0.345, "relative_strength": 19.537718, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.209586, "energy": 19.544256, "activity_lines": [ 0.381333, 0.383636, 0.382095, 0.364774 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 0.36, "volume": 5500, "typical_volume": 337695.0, "trend": 0.337, "fair_value": 0.343974, "relative_strength": 14.415028, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.489106, "energy": 9.055801, "activity_lines": [ 0.374, 0.379091, 0.380762, 0.366624 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 0.33, "volume": 22300, "typical_volume": 334380.0, "trend": 0.342667, "fair_value": 0.342756, "relative_strength": 5.086515, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.311342, "energy": 12.899926, "activity_lines": [ 0.358, 0.369818, 0.376286, 0.366172 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 0.33, "volume": 156500, "typical_volume": 305245.0, "trend": 0.346667, "fair_value": 0.341474, "relative_strength": 0.778737, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.294941, "energy": 39.226323, "activity_lines": [ 0.345333, 0.361273, 0.371762, 0.365355 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 0.33, "volume": 492100, "typical_volume": 328650.0, "trend": 0.349667, "fair_value": 0.340321, "relative_strength": 0.713958, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.050942, "energy": 54.030219, "activity_lines": [ 0.336667, 0.353636, 0.367619, 0.36428 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 0.35, "volume": 349200, "typical_volume": 339945.0, "trend": 0.352667, "fair_value": 0.339231, "relative_strength": 5.315799, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.590072, "energy": 50.262238, "activity_lines": [ 0.338667, 0.350909, 0.365619, 0.364301 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 0.39, "volume": 44300, "typical_volume": 340685.0, "trend": 0.356667, "fair_value": 0.338846, "relative_strength": 15.547133, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.936191, "energy": 10.495229, "activity_lines": [ 0.355333, 0.356182, 0.367429, 0.36671 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 0.38, "volume": 87900, "typical_volume": 336520.0, "trend": 0.359333, "fair_value": 0.338462, "relative_strength": 10.961138, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.037712, "energy": 17.151569, "activity_lines": [ 0.366667, 0.359455, 0.367952, 0.368215 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 0.39, "volume": 64200, "typical_volume": 332605.0, "trend": 0.363, "fair_value": 0.337885, "relative_strength": 13.268426, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.285221, "energy": 32.944877, "activity_lines": [ 0.378, 0.364545, 0.36919, 0.370194 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 0.38, "volume": 99900, "typical_volume": 259280.0, "trend": 0.366333, "fair_value": 0.336923, "relative_strength": 7.13601, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.117301, "energy": 33.446985, "activity_lines": [ 0.382, 0.367818, 0.369524, 0.37129 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 0.4, "volume": 39600, "typical_volume": 204130.0, "trend": 0.370667, "fair_value": 0.33641, "relative_strength": 10.585726, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.546411, "energy": 51.50548, "activity_lines": [ 0.389333, 0.374909, 0.372, 0.373462 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 0.38, "volume": 285800, "typical_volume": 178915.0, "trend": 0.373333, "fair_value": 0.335769, "relative_strength": 4.351338, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.312076, "energy": 35.472064, "activity_lines": [ 0.386667, 0.377818, 0.372524, 0.374065 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 0.37, "volume": 78500, "typical_volume": 172835.0, "trend": 0.375, "fair_value": 0.335, "relative_strength": 4.732433, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.668084, "energy": 13.187725, "activity_lines": [ 0.381333, 0.378545, 0.37219, 0.373849 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 0.38, "volume": 76400, "typical_volume": 174255.0, "trend": 0.374, "fair_value": 0.334359, "relative_strength": 4.976826, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.495256, "energy": 10.750943, "activity_lines": [ 0.38, 0.380364, 0.37281, 0.374172 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 0.35, "volume": 74000, "typical_volume": 152585.0, "trend": 0.373, "fair_value": 0.333526, "relative_strength": -5.327039, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.537058, "energy": 19.086271, "activity_lines": [ 0.369333, 0.375818, 0.370571, 0.372624 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 0.33, "volume": 82500, "typical_volume": 124945.0, "trend": 0.372333, "fair_value": 0.332756, "relative_strength": -12.851611, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.173152, "energy": 60.457146, "activity_lines": [ 0.354, 0.367273, 0.366667, 0.369849 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 0.34, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 112510.0, "trend": 0.373, "fair_value": 0.331859, "relative_strength": -11.764447, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.748487, "energy": 68.646157, "activity_lines": [ 0.346667, 0.360909, 0.364, 0.367763 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 0.33, "volume": 56100, "typical_volume": 110750.0, "trend": 0.373, "fair_value": 0.331026, "relative_strength": -11.273143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.231662, "energy": 75.658658, "activity_lines": [ 0.338667, 0.353636, 0.360571, 0.364989 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 0.33, "volume": 8500, "typical_volume": 102775.0, "trend": 0.370667, "fair_value": 0.330256, "relative_strength": -10.227398, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.48882, "energy": 77.247379, "activity_lines": [ 0.333333, 0.347273, 0.357381, 0.362215 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 0.29, "volume": 269700, "typical_volume": 115575.0, "trend": 0.366, "fair_value": 0.329231, "relative_strength": -18.253997, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.260892, "energy": 87.78767, "activity_lines": [ 0.318, 0.334727, 0.350667, 0.357011 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 0.34, "volume": 125400, "typical_volume": 120970.0, "trend": 0.364333, "fair_value": 0.328718, "relative_strength": -6.495324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.281845, "energy": 61.533347, "activity_lines": [ 0.323333, 0.332909, 0.34919, 0.355333 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 0.35, "volume": 8500, "typical_volume": 121120.0, "trend": 0.362667, "fair_value": 0.328462, "relative_strength": -7.453514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.470551, "energy": 42.279984, "activity_lines": [ 0.331333, 0.334, 0.34881, 0.354409 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 0.33, "volume": 12000, "typical_volume": 120605.0, "trend": 0.361333, "fair_value": 0.327949, "relative_strength": -14.635232, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.718058, "energy": 36.323669, "activity_lines": [ 0.332, 0.332, 0.346571, 0.352301 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 0.35, "volume": 3600, "typical_volume": 112960.0, "trend": 0.360333, "fair_value": 0.327372, "relative_strength": -11.522918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.951497, "energy": 21.946282, "activity_lines": [ 0.339333, 0.334364, 0.346238, 0.35157 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 0.3, "volume": 79400, "typical_volume": 92325.0, "trend": 0.357, "fair_value": 0.326731, "relative_strength": -23.476646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.18328, "energy": 32.123285, "activity_lines": [ 0.328667, 0.328182, 0.341048, 0.347677 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 0.33, "volume": 16400, "typical_volume": 75685.0, "trend": 0.355, "fair_value": 0.326282, "relative_strength": -15.980572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.048784, "energy": 30.260603, "activity_lines": [ 0.327333, 0.328364, 0.338857, 0.345935 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 0.3, "volume": 33000, "typical_volume": 75120.0, "trend": 0.352333, "fair_value": 0.325577, "relative_strength": -23.95351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.693785, "energy": 43.331713, "activity_lines": [ 0.316667, 0.323091, 0.333905, 0.342387 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 0.3, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 71725.0, "trend": 0.349667, "fair_value": 0.324936, "relative_strength": -23.258351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.895863, "energy": 59.140226, "activity_lines": [ 0.309333, 0.318545, 0.329381, 0.339011 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 0.3, "volume": 30600, "typical_volume": 70045.0, "trend": 0.346667, "fair_value": 0.324231, "relative_strength": -24.461201, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.129649, "energy": 59.941074, "activity_lines": [ 0.304, 0.314545, 0.325238, 0.335806 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 0.29, "volume": 103800, "typical_volume": 70240.0, "trend": 0.343333, "fair_value": 0.323462, "relative_strength": -27.225321, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.031837, "energy": 68.366331, "activity_lines": [ 0.298667, 0.309273, 0.320571, 0.332151 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.31, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 68260.0, "trend": 0.341333, "fair_value": 0.322821, "relative_strength": -21.192761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.484192, "energy": 53.080427, "activity_lines": [ 0.300667, 0.307636, 0.318238, 0.33 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.3, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 53970.0, "trend": 0.339333, "fair_value": 0.322115, "relative_strength": -24.628855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.605248, "energy": 40.649012, "activity_lines": [ 0.300667, 0.304727, 0.315381, 0.327333 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.29, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 50045.0, "trend": 0.338, "fair_value": 0.32141, "relative_strength": -26.972028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.45016, "energy": 45.505016, "activity_lines": [ 0.297333, 0.300909, 0.311952, 0.324151 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.29, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 46225.0, "trend": 0.336667, "fair_value": 0.320705, "relative_strength": -26.628824, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.13116, "energy": 53.088564, "activity_lines": [ 0.294667, 0.297818, 0.308905, 0.321054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.28, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 42525.0, "trend": 0.335, "fair_value": 0.319936, "relative_strength": -29.228066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.025893, "energy": 66.107358, "activity_lines": [ 0.289333, 0.294, 0.305333, 0.317398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.3, "volume": 41400, "typical_volume": 40470.0, "trend": 0.333333, "fair_value": 0.319423, "relative_strength": -23.421771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.928411, "energy": 52.720902, "activity_lines": [ 0.291333, 0.294182, 0.304, 0.31514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.27, "volume": 32600, "typical_volume": 42050.0, "trend": 0.329333, "fair_value": 0.31859, "relative_strength": -30.242384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.626959, "energy": 59.265804, "activity_lines": [ 0.284, 0.289455, 0.299952, 0.311054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.29, "volume": 10500, "typical_volume": 39770.0, "trend": 0.326333, "fair_value": 0.317885, "relative_strength": -24.700282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.293696, "energy": 45.566908, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.288909, 0.298143, 0.308516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.28, "volume": 18300, "typical_volume": 40260.0, "trend": 0.322667, "fair_value": 0.317115, "relative_strength": -26.496152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.298588, "energy": 44.319099, "activity_lines": [ 0.283333, 0.286727, 0.295571, 0.305527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.29, "volume": 70600, "typical_volume": 30305.0, "trend": 0.319667, "fair_value": 0.31641, "relative_strength": -25.771038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.840903, "energy": 38.529613, "activity_lines": [ 0.285333, 0.286727, 0.29419, 0.303419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }