{ "ticker": { "uuid": "202ff192-42f7-44ff-a930-f0e1e2c7e6fc", "symbol": "DIL", "name": "Debock Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -83.392, "architecture_energy": 90.649, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.767, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.6, "rotation_up": 15.81, "upward_expansion": 20.49, "deceleration": 37.92, "rotation_down": 79.79, "downward_expansion": 98.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.798667, 0.838364, 0.897333, 0.967333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.77, "trend_reference": 1.081, "distance_from_trend": -0.287697, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.622756, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.833433, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.247184, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.425373, "excess_performance": -0.381664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.287697, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222302, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.833433, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000552, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.452472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02024, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.425373, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.438149, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 640877, "relative_activity": 1.376622, "balance": 0.438149, "dry_up": 1.222797, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062937, "annualized_volatility": 0.20241, "from_high_reference": -0.684426, "from_low_reference": 0.013158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.081, "fair_value_reference": 4.622756, "structural_low": 0.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": -0.057452, "positive_rate": 0.26087, "directional_follow_through": 0.73913, "median_excess_return": -0.058198, "regime_survival": 0.913043, "best_return": 1.132911, "worst_return": -0.461667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.173913, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.192191, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 6.196203, "worst_return": -0.405556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.191779, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.28603, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 15.094938, "worst_return": -0.643333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.377391, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.615654, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 5.379747, "worst_return": -0.726257, "sufficient": true } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2021-09-24", "end": "2022-02-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.891566, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2022-02-11", "end": "2022-02-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.102143, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2022-02-25", "end": "2022-04-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1367, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2022-04-15", "end": "2022-05-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.05437, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2022-05-20", "end": "2022-06-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.560944, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-06-17", "end": "2023-02-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.436807, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-02-10", "end": "2023-03-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.05974, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-03-24", "end": "2023-04-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.058462, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-04-21", "end": "2023-08-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.305316, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-08-11", "end": "2024-01-12", 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73.141457, "activity_lines": [ 0.895333, 0.924545, 0.975381, 1.059097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.82, "volume": 596366, "typical_volume": 396983.55, "trend": 1.170333, "fair_value": 4.839872, "relative_strength": -43.794562, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.371277, "energy": 81.34498, "activity_lines": [ 0.864667, 0.902182, 0.954143, 1.034366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8, "volume": 572096, "typical_volume": 421410.85, "trend": 1.139333, "fair_value": 4.760385, "relative_strength": -43.023193, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.386649, "energy": 89.947552, "activity_lines": [ 0.836, 0.878909, 0.933571, 1.010473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.81, "volume": 467721, "typical_volume": 437840.15, "trend": 1.109333, "fair_value": 4.691538, "relative_strength": -42.903187, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.631861, "energy": 86.374788, "activity_lines": [ 0.82, 0.860909, 0.916333, 0.989226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.77, "volume": 640877, "typical_volume": 465543.25, "trend": 1.081, "fair_value": 4.622756, "relative_strength": -45.247184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.391865, "energy": 90.648785, "activity_lines": [ 0.798667, 0.838364, 0.897333, 0.967333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }