{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2048f4f5-da9a-4c4f-a839-5e2ff739d9d8", "symbol": "SAXG", "name": "Saxlund Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.523, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -38.729, "architecture_energy": 46.229, "architecture_maturity": 17.332, "architecture_confidence": 65.783, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.28, "rotation_up": 26.07, "upward_expansion": 17.53, "deceleration": 46.61, "rotation_down": 53.09, "downward_expansion": 56.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.476667, 11.66, 12.104524, 12.353978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.2, "trend_reference": 12.33, "distance_from_trend": -0.091646, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.149227, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.681359, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.724417, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.066667, "excess_performance": 0.005172, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.091646, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050106, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.681359, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019412, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117244, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242909, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.537322, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24209, "relative_activity": 1.824966, "balance": 0.537322, "dry_up": 0.961878, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075549, "annualized_volatility": 0.461246, "from_high_reference": -0.293375, "from_low_reference": 0.632653 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.33, "fair_value_reference": 35.149227, "structural_low": 10.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming 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"typical_volume": 14282.1, "trend": 12.191667, "fair_value": 37.791712, "relative_strength": -6.778895, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.653278, "energy": 46.827427, "activity_lines": [ 11.756667, 12.085455, 12.569286, 12.530108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.9, "volume": 11578, "typical_volume": 13784.65, "trend": 12.268333, "fair_value": 37.118137, "relative_strength": -0.322386, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.764714, "energy": 42.960099, "activity_lines": [ 11.75, 12.01, 12.469286, 12.51129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.85, "volume": 3993, "typical_volume": 13147.05, "trend": 12.305, "fair_value": 36.457204, "relative_strength": -2.741039, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.509008, "energy": 36.139284, "activity_lines": [ 11.76, 11.943636, 12.36881, 12.484301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.4, "volume": 11259, "typical_volume": 13233.7, "trend": 12.315, "fair_value": 35.809341, "relative_strength": -8.071475, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.806586, "energy": 45.808463, "activity_lines": [ 11.633333, 11.808182, 12.237619, 12.425914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.2, "volume": 24209, "typical_volume": 13265.45, "trend": 12.33, "fair_value": 35.149227, "relative_strength": -11.724417, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.728765, "energy": 46.228567, "activity_lines": [ 11.476667, 11.66, 12.104524, 12.353978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }