{ "ticker": { "uuid": "20499e09-3642-4f26-9d7b-e9ae555c94c1", "symbol": "ICU", "name": "SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 70.728, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.595, "architecture_energy": 11.384, "architecture_maturity": 21.823, "architecture_confidence": 55.951, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 71.26, "rotation_up": 22.79, "upward_expansion": 44.51, "deceleration": 81.16, "rotation_down": 34.97, "downward_expansion": 31.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.541333, 3.709273, 3.742619, 3.607871 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 3.28, "trend_reference": 3.347667, "distance_from_trend": -0.020213, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.832686, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.936719, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.824853, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.322581, "excess_performance": 0.135127, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020213, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047608, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.936719, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008828, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.328249, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000165, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.322581, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.11407, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 308355, "relative_activity": 0.504236, "balance": 1.11407, "dry_up": 0.491029, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.248933, "annualized_volatility": 1.181806, "from_high_reference": -0.7376, "from_low_reference": 0.584541 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.347667, "fair_value_reference": 51.832686, "structural_low": 2.07, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.018895, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006762, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.282051, "worst_return": -0.31984, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.728513, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.759231, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.728513, "worst_return": -0.728513, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.752689, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.726207, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.752689, "worst_return": -0.752689, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.870869, "energy": 18.245917, "activity_lines": [ 3.282667, 3.642182, 3.520762, 3.302254 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 3.12, "volume": 245899, "typical_volume": 581684.9, "trend": 3.1051, "fair_value": 57.222429, "relative_strength": -44.144623, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.956016, "energy": 19.96909, "activity_lines": [ 3.167333, 3.514364, 3.508143, 3.303366 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 3.12, "volume": 410904, "typical_volume": 585240.1, "trend": 3.103567, "fair_value": 56.409096, "relative_strength": -41.062563, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.958625, "energy": 18.175762, "activity_lines": [ 3.107333, 3.397273, 3.492, 3.304327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 4.92, "volume": 985874, "typical_volume": 594319.6, "trend": 3.147733, "fair_value": 55.574449, "relative_strength": -7.115931, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.886268, "energy": 22.225709, "activity_lines": [ 3.689333, 3.627091, 3.644238, 3.421516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.95, "volume": 571549, "typical_volume": 614462.6, "trend": 3.205667, "fair_value": 54.735506, "relative_strength": -7.278981, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.644138, "energy": 57.015287, "activity_lines": [ 4.200667, 3.848, 3.787333, 3.537791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.0, "volume": 324460, "typical_volume": 616565.0, "trend": 3.2574, "fair_value": 53.958583, "relative_strength": -20.377986, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.554855, "energy": 54.043078, "activity_lines": [ 4.261333, 3.885636, 3.828, 3.589039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.75, "volume": 265630, "typical_volume": 614265.9, "trend": 3.297033, "fair_value": 53.166917, "relative_strength": -22.454876, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.525492, "energy": 49.244485, "activity_lines": [ 4.170667, 3.886727, 3.838952, 3.620819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.13, "volume": 302668, "typical_volume": 615691.7, "trend": 3.313667, "fair_value": 52.420635, "relative_strength": -34.320632, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.230024, "energy": 15.053076, "activity_lines": [ 3.831333, 3.778727, 3.785, 3.610043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.28, "volume": 308355, "typical_volume": 611528.8, "trend": 3.347667, "fair_value": 51.832686, "relative_strength": -32.824853, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.594773, "energy": 11.384394, "activity_lines": [ 3.541333, 3.709273, 3.742619, 3.607871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }