{ "ticker": { "uuid": "204c3d0a-9db7-489f-b4ff-cd50bfdb5e4d", "symbol": "PFS", "name": "Provident Financial Services Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.664, "architecture_energy": 61.51, "architecture_maturity": 40.075, "architecture_confidence": 80.378, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.5, "rotation_up": 71.24, "upward_expansion": 89.01, "deceleration": 45.78, "rotation_down": 15.62, "downward_expansion": 11.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.290667, 23.954, 23.29373, 22.791467 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 24.46, "trend_reference": 22.217319, "distance_from_trend": 0.100943, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.271002, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.416247, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.939193, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050529, "excess_performance": -0.075096, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100943, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069936, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.416247, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079341, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049392, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050529, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.15351, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4908838, "relative_activity": 1.00975, "balance": 1.15351, "dry_up": 1.097146, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04437, "annualized_volatility": 0.212631, "from_high_reference": -0.040408, "from_low_reference": 0.431069 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.217319, "fair_value_reference": 17.271002, "structural_low": 19.665074, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 4906617.65, "trend": 22.057395, "fair_value": 17.214976, "relative_strength": 9.887002, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.157701, "energy": 66.037928, "activity_lines": [ 24.118, 23.766364, 23.107412, 22.63646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.46, "volume": 4908838, "typical_volume": 4861440.8, "trend": 22.217319, "fair_value": 17.271002, "relative_strength": 4.939193, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.663911, "energy": 61.509757, "activity_lines": [ 24.290667, 23.954, 23.29373, 22.791467 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }