{ "ticker": { "uuid": "207d1714-6024-4f70-bdd0-e9cba779cb14", "symbol": "EUA", "name": "Eurasia Mining Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.635, "architecture_energy": 36.326, "architecture_maturity": 84.766, "architecture_confidence": 82.541, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.67, "rotation_up": 23.65, "upward_expansion": 3.93, "deceleration": 59.03, "rotation_down": 48.45, "downward_expansion": 77.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.023967, 0.024186, 0.025204, 0.026824 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.023, "trend_reference": 0.029617, "distance_from_trend": -0.22341, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.029876, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.23015, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.946413, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.394737, "excess_performance": -0.445972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.22341, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166901, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.23015, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12382, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.379464, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03862, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.394737, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.458968, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12420252, "relative_activity": 0.793048, "balance": 1.458968, "dry_up": 0.925946, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172408, "annualized_volatility": 0.415462, "from_high_reference": -0.614676, "from_low_reference": 0.15 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.029617, "fair_value_reference": 0.029876, "structural_low": 0.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.052178, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.575, "median_excess_return": -0.06634, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.676364, "worst_return": -0.295652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.147059, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.198755, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.676364, "worst_return": -0.366667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.172414, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.113518, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.589655, "worst_return": -0.516667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.024582, 0.025999, 0.028036 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.025, "volume": 21762269, "typical_volume": 17210468.8, "trend": 0.030517, "fair_value": 0.029953, "relative_strength": -33.700121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.296459, "energy": 39.236704, "activity_lines": [ 0.024133, 0.024523, 0.025758, 0.027634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.025, "volume": 14214971, "typical_volume": 16554677.6, "trend": 0.030033, "fair_value": 0.029921, "relative_strength": -33.617401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.66477, "energy": 34.150786, "activity_lines": [ 0.024383, 0.024518, 0.025558, 0.027278 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.023, "volume": 12420252, "typical_volume": 15661417.7, "trend": 0.029617, "fair_value": 0.029876, "relative_strength": -37.946413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.635403, "energy": 36.326223, "activity_lines": [ 0.023967, 0.024186, 0.025204, 0.026824 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }