{ "ticker": { "uuid": "208670ca-a346-4b0d-a50b-e6ee054470cd", "symbol": "6248", "name": "TMP Steel Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.516, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.242, "architecture_energy": 53.141, "architecture_maturity": 41.137, "architecture_confidence": 91.877, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.43, "rotation_up": 24.89, "upward_expansion": 8.4, "deceleration": 55.79, "rotation_down": 57.22, "downward_expansion": 84.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.753333, 17.863636, 18.220952, 18.719355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.200001, "trend_reference": 19.47, "distance_from_trend": -0.065229, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.932825, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.239538, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.355471, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.16129, "excess_performance": -0.602662, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065229, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022836, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.239538, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001343, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.353555, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060148, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.16129, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.193638, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 481557, "relative_activity": 0.866864, "balance": 1.193638, "dry_up": 0.677742, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034446, "annualized_volatility": 0.176466, "from_high_reference": -0.21803, "from_low_reference": 0.070588 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.47, "fair_value_reference": 23.932825, 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"typical_volume": 581806.05, "trend": 19.695, "fair_value": 24.005418, "relative_strength": -36.84367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.789506, "energy": 70.530109, "activity_lines": [ 17.683333, 17.945455, 18.404048, 18.946022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.549999, "volume": 225057, "typical_volume": 554551.55, "trend": 19.568333, "fair_value": 23.967459, "relative_strength": -36.478023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.45753, "energy": 65.92002, "activity_lines": [ 17.58, 17.837273, 18.275, 18.807634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 18.200001, "volume": 481557, "typical_volume": 555516.5, "trend": 19.47, "fair_value": 23.932825, "relative_strength": -35.355471, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.242463, "energy": 53.141175, "activity_lines": [ 17.753333, 17.863636, 18.220952, 18.719355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }