{ "ticker": { "uuid": "208cafe0-1beb-4a52-93c4-916e79e80fd8", "symbol": "NUTR3", "name": "Nutriplant Ind\u00fastria e Com\u00e9rcio S/A", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.13, "architecture_energy": 41.28, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.212, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.26, "rotation_up": 16.93, "upward_expansion": 5.79, "deceleration": 44.21, "rotation_down": 60.92, "downward_expansion": 83.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.177333, 2.209273, 2.237524, 2.270581 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.08, "trend_reference": 2.337, "distance_from_trend": -0.10997, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.698846, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.437662, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.328678, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.1875, "excess_performance": -0.130452, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.10997, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072374, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.437662, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054233, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.223287, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068375, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1875, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.28153, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30400, "relative_activity": 1.84522, "balance": 0.28153, "dry_up": 0.924127, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093195, "annualized_volatility": 0.281503, "from_high_reference": -0.35, "from_low_reference": 0.004831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.337, "fair_value_reference": 3.698846, "structural_low": 2.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.023936, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.143258, "worst_return": -0.166311, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.042726, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.097229, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.819484, "worst_return": -0.197772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.213115, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.185198, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.455587, "worst_return": -0.239583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-05-19", "end": "2023-06-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038314, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-06-23", "end": "2023-08-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.306, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-09-01", "end": "2023-10-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.108911, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-10-13", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.131805, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-01-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.023364, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.107075, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.230277, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.108247, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.393586, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.75, "volume": 35900, "typical_volume": 25580.0, "trend": 4.009333, "fair_value": 2.83822, "relative_strength": 3.500705, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.24, "volume": 15900, "typical_volume": 15915.0, "trend": 2.37, "fair_value": 3.725513, "relative_strength": -19.154039, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.296628, "energy": 19.288025, "activity_lines": [ 2.244667, 2.240364, 2.261571, 2.298753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.21, "volume": 4200, "typical_volume": 15490.0, "trend": 2.356667, "fair_value": 3.712308, "relative_strength": -21.03351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.369062, "energy": 24.541083, "activity_lines": [ 2.227333, 2.236545, 2.25519, 2.28843 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.08, "volume": 30400, "typical_volume": 16475.0, "trend": 2.337, "fair_value": 3.698846, "relative_strength": -22.328678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.129565, "energy": 41.280461, "activity_lines": [ 2.177333, 2.209273, 2.237524, 2.270581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }