{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "20924223-36e9-466a-9098-a43182c0ae33",
    "symbol": "NEPA",
    "name": "Nepa AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 48.387,
    "architecture_energy": 27.696,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.932,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.286,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.53,
        "rotation_up": 42.16,
        "upward_expansion": 71.6,
        "deceleration": 65.05,
        "rotation_down": 27.7,
        "downward_expansion": 9.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.113334,
        20.082727,
        19.923572,
        19.51
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 19.5,
    "trend_reference": 18.79,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.037786,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.101404,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029918,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.889976,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.278689,
    "excess_performance": 0.217194,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037786,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08917,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029918,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02446,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0089,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04766,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.278689,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.268403,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 44100,
      "relative_activity": 1.261101,
      "balance": 1.268403,
      "dry_up": 0.556915,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060947,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.403256,
      "from_high_reference": -0.113636,
      "from_low_reference": 0.48289
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.79,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.101404,
      "structural_low": 14.45,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.013438,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011049,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.282799,
        "worst_return": -0.156818,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.224242,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.123597,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055402,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.119534,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.152899,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "typical_volume": 35494.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 47462.75,
        "trend": 16.896667,
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        "relative_strength": 4.678164,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 49244.9,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 4.062049,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 17.866667,
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        "relative_strength": 1.588213,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.90187,
        "energy": 30.0925,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 19.799999,
        "volume": 14101,
        "typical_volume": 48105.55,
        "trend": 18.011667,
        "fair_value": 20.010818,
        "relative_strength": 0.225642,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 26.171358,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 20.200001,
        "volume": 11105,
        "typical_volume": 39266.15,
        "trend": 18.166667,
        "fair_value": 20.031422,
        "relative_strength": 4.924573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.62217,
        "energy": 25.099173,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.946667,
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          19.048602
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 20.5,
        "volume": 16819,
        "typical_volume": 36169.9,
        "trend": 18.33,
        "fair_value": 20.05395,
        "relative_strength": 7.95835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.80306,
        "energy": 28.095883,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.123333,
          20.166364,
          19.700714,
          19.19914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.200001,
        "volume": 10998,
        "typical_volume": 35146.75,
        "trend": 18.496667,
        "fair_value": 20.067369,
        "relative_strength": 5.160101,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.337607,
        "energy": 30.895855,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.186667,
          20.162728,
          19.790238,
          19.319785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.6,
        "volume": 5983,
        "typical_volume": 34191.7,
        "trend": 18.655,
        "fair_value": 20.085563,
        "relative_strength": 6.153402,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.73493,
        "energy": 35.709007,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.366667,
          20.221818,
          19.915476,
          19.455484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.5,
        "volume": 44100,
        "typical_volume": 34969.45,
        "trend": 18.79,
        "fair_value": 20.101404,
        "relative_strength": -0.889976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.387357,
        "energy": 27.696367,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.113334,
          20.082727,
          19.923572,
          19.51
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}