{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "20957b33-ad89-4e4e-8ccf-adeab9aea520",
    "symbol": "GURE",
    "name": "Gulf Resources, Inc. (NV) Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.165,
    "architecture_energy": 61.767,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.178,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.43,
        "rotation_up": 15.54,
        "upward_expansion": 13.38,
        "deceleration": 38.93,
        "rotation_down": 64.84,
        "downward_expansion": 89.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.267333,
        3.48712,
        3.834427,
        4.133457
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.15,
    "trend_reference": 4.41826,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.28705,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 9.121192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.65465,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -44.22596,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.34375,
    "excess_performance": -0.531204,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.28705,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049323,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.65465,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034409,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.44226,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059005,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.34375,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.656555,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23288,
      "relative_activity": 0.151958,
      "balance": 0.656555,
      "dry_up": 0.09835,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.250286,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.275143,
      "from_high_reference": -0.733728,
      "from_low_reference": 0.544118
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.41826,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.121192,
      "structural_low": 2.85,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": -0.028552,
        "positive_rate": 0.452381,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.547619,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031265,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.309145,
        "worst_return": -0.314882,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.127143,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.215085,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.318735,
        "worst_return": -0.257208,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.201487,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.351648,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 4,
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 9.607153,
        "relative_strength": -41.500938,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.564319,
        "energy": 53.353973,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 10617,
        "typical_volume": 186359.75,
        "trend": 4.490593,
        "fair_value": 9.473948,
        "relative_strength": -34.805242,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.726504,
        "energy": 50.344005,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.71094,
          3.906273,
          4.182014,
          4.382153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.4,
        "volume": 4129,
        "typical_volume": 178904.95,
        "trend": 4.480593,
        "fair_value": 9.352153,
        "relative_strength": -38.47777,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.211917,
        "energy": 55.320794,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.596293,
          3.79304,
          4.07912,
          4.311792
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.02,
        "volume": 22256,
        "typical_volume": 160582.65,
        "trend": 4.453593,
        "fair_value": 9.236897,
        "relative_strength": -44.686464,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.252482,
        "energy": 63.966733,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.38498,
          3.621625,
          3.946654,
          4.21756
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.15,
        "volume": 23288,
        "typical_volume": 153253.05,
        "trend": 4.41826,
        "fair_value": 9.121192,
        "relative_strength": -44.22596,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.165097,
        "energy": 61.767202,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.267333,
          3.48712,
          3.834427,
          4.133457
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}