{ "ticker": { "uuid": "20b7ef16-006b-4385-b2bb-6c3cba3a4297", "symbol": "301317", "name": "Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.372, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.166, "architecture_energy": 51.698, "architecture_maturity": 16.164, "architecture_confidence": 66.005, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.03, "rotation_up": 14.65, "upward_expansion": 25.51, "deceleration": 49.89, "rotation_down": 66.12, "downward_expansion": 52.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.172, 50.361013, 56.272402, 56.266184 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.82, "trend_reference": 54.03597, "distance_from_trend": -0.152046, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.726822, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.595025, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.245358, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.08707, "excess_performance": 0.07967, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.152046, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161735, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.595025, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.863302, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.002454, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.352418, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08707, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.425065, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17115441, "relative_activity": 0.786306, "balance": 1.425065, "dry_up": 0.904127, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.264941, "annualized_volatility": 0.984341, "from_high_reference": -0.47414, "from_low_reference": 0.594849 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.03597, "fair_value_reference": 28.726822, "structural_low": 37.099998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.786507, "energy": 14.664475, "activity_lines": [ 59.99608, 62.501632, 61.937195, 58.489897 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.119999, "volume": 22920515, "typical_volume": 25012920.3, "trend": 52.980304, "fair_value": 28.384659, "relative_strength": 11.596349, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.715899, "energy": 13.078188, "activity_lines": [ 56.273058, 59.627945, 60.881865, 58.277662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.400002, "volume": 19406620, "typical_volume": 23670289.8, "trend": 53.344304, "fair_value": 28.499377, "relative_strength": -1.928528, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.384533, "energy": 31.493448, "activity_lines": [ 51.138514, 55.978245, 59.32406, 57.659578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.509998, "volume": 19277599, "typical_volume": 22037101.8, "trend": 53.583304, "fair_value": 28.587302, "relative_strength": -9.422208, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.840663, "energy": 52.44751, "activity_lines": [ 46.29, 52.243711, 57.455398, 56.767042 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.82, "volume": 17115441, "typical_volume": 21766890.45, "trend": 54.03597, "fair_value": 28.726822, "relative_strength": -0.245358, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.166141, "energy": 51.697753, "activity_lines": [ 45.172, 50.361013, 56.272402, 56.266184 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }