{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "20ba7069-2f19-4b4a-b3b9-d63b2e419b22",
    "symbol": "558",
    "name": "UMS Integration Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.418,
    "architecture_energy": 18.143,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.407,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.393,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.5,
        "rotation_up": 19.7,
        "upward_expansion": 52.19,
        "deceleration": 93.83,
        "rotation_down": 29.39,
        "downward_expansion": 18.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.406,
        2.466178,
        2.463837,
        2.283944
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.41,
    "trend_reference": 2.014616,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.196258,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.135692,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.122054,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 26.468681,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.945214,
    "excess_performance": 0.790379,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196258,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288256,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.122054,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.244162,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.264687,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.448411,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.945214,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.919475,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 43284300,
      "relative_activity": 0.779667,
      "balance": 0.919475,
      "dry_up": 1.152798,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.129462,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.503515,
      "from_high_reference": -0.234921,
      "from_low_reference": 1.356123
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.014616,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.135692,
      "structural_low": 1.268673,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.02381,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000159,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.111939,
        "worst_return": -0.138889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.058244,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026364,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.118569,
        "worst_return": -0.173611,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.00739,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078126,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.447294,
        "worst_return": -0.075628,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.17463,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.263645,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.160788,
        "worst_return": -0.188471,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047619,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.046512,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.14151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.137799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035715,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.115184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.045113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 1.104172,
        "relative_strength": 35.822844,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.64004,
        "energy": 32.993611,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.49,
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        "typical_volume": 55641525.0,
        "trend": 1.945504,
        "fair_value": 1.115237,
        "relative_strength": 35.319001,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.67352,
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        "activity_lines": [
          2.505346,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.28,
        "volume": 81459200,
        "typical_volume": 56285665.0,
        "trend": 1.973929,
        "fair_value": 1.125048,
        "relative_strength": 22.187047,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.868134,
        "energy": 18.349432,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.426664,
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          2.452067,
          2.255811
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.41,
        "volume": 43284300,
        "typical_volume": 55516410.0,
        "trend": 2.014616,
        "fair_value": 1.135692,
        "relative_strength": 26.468681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.418428,
        "energy": 18.142873,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}