{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "20c78f96-a165-41c9-81d7-7d4c6bc064f4",
    "symbol": "KRP",
    "name": "Kimbell Royalty Partners LP",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.265,
    "architecture_energy": 30.574,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.884,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.081,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.86,
        "rotation_up": 47.97,
        "upward_expansion": 75.96,
        "deceleration": 62.35,
        "rotation_down": 21.61,
        "downward_expansion": 2.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.950667,
        14.886727,
        14.85038,
        14.644101
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.98,
    "trend_reference": 14.212672,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.053989,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.722592,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.177433,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.190888,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.144064,
    "excess_performance": 0.018439,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053989,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079251,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177433,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031935,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001909,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016181,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144064,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.609144,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5700663,
      "relative_activity": 1.502906,
      "balance": 2.609144,
      "dry_up": 0.987397,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042541,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.180718,
      "from_high_reference": -0.051899,
      "from_low_reference": 0.394929
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.212672,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.722592,
      "structural_low": 12.979733,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.009679,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000786,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.13617,
        "worst_return": -0.179143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.004781,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021416,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.212274,
        "worst_return": -0.05614,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.057322,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030055,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.180562,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120777,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.384292,
        "worst_return": -0.107081,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.044228,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.015424,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 3880643.25,
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        "fair_value": 12.612983,
        "relative_strength": 0.273924,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 19.580133,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3895567.0,
        "trend": 13.83802,
        "fair_value": 12.640191,
        "relative_strength": 3.857739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.172549,
        "energy": 19.646313,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.450894
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.94,
        "volume": 2882342,
        "typical_volume": 3842653.8,
        "trend": 13.969511,
        "fair_value": 12.665038,
        "relative_strength": 4.272634,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.202608,
        "energy": 20.040178,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.832,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.97,
        "volume": 3198126,
        "typical_volume": 3766636.7,
        "trend": 14.08776,
        "fair_value": 12.695247,
        "relative_strength": 3.505869,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.414546,
        "energy": 27.836624,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.896,
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          14.821514,
          14.586537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.98,
        "volume": 5700663,
        "typical_volume": 3793094.1,
        "trend": 14.212672,
        "fair_value": 12.722592,
        "relative_strength": 0.190888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.264967,
        "energy": 30.574459,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}