{ "ticker": { "uuid": "20e243c7-b15b-45de-b76e-52fb7594d169", "symbol": "MOFAST", "name": "Mofast AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.268, "architecture_energy": 19.976, "architecture_maturity": 13.679, "architecture_confidence": 66.404, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.97, "rotation_up": 20.5, "upward_expansion": 10.08, "deceleration": 54.53, "rotation_down": 50.42, "downward_expansion": 42.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.9, 15.134918, 15.257332, 15.118407 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 15.0, "trend_reference": 15.235064, "distance_from_trend": -0.015429, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.461729, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029863, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.487335, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.085366, "excess_performance": -0.14686, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015429, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041016, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029863, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000887, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164873, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036129, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085366, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.454812, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18663, "relative_activity": 0.34072, "balance": 0.454812, "dry_up": 0.388519, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074329, "annualized_volatility": 0.365263, "from_high_reference": -0.222798, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.235064, "fair_value_reference": 15.461729, "structural_low": 12.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.001299, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039854, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.229167, "worst_return": -0.157576, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.079978, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.06571, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135714, "worst_return": 0.024242, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.214286, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.077455, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.214286, "worst_return": 0.214286, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 14.176115, "activity_lines": [ 15.281966, 15.523205, 15.253312, 15.224548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.7, "volume": 46212, "typical_volume": 58635.5, "trend": 15.461731, "fair_value": 15.468232, "relative_strength": -16.174491, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.069768, "energy": 18.637904, "activity_lines": [ 15.03141, 15.320443, 15.236398, 15.170458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.0, "volume": 13259, "typical_volume": 56857.15, "trend": 15.345064, "fair_value": 15.464958, "relative_strength": -15.394, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.295114, "energy": 23.287953, "activity_lines": [ 14.933333, 15.212226, 15.249484, 15.140669 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.0, "volume": 18663, "typical_volume": 54775.25, "trend": 15.235064, "fair_value": 15.461729, "relative_strength": -16.487335, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.268345, "energy": 19.975852, "activity_lines": [ 14.9, 15.134918, 15.257332, 15.118407 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }