{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "20f513e3-1b50-461a-860c-1b35ffea7883",
    "symbol": "TGBHOTELS",
    "name": "TGB Banquets and Hotels Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.671,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -23.86,
    "architecture_energy": 10.069,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.637,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.443,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.29,
        "rotation_up": 26.04,
        "upward_expansion": 15.86,
        "deceleration": 35.6,
        "rotation_down": 36.13,
        "downward_expansion": 63.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.062667,
        8.985091,
        9.070714,
        9.084022
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.3,
    "trend_reference": 9.138333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017691,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 12.528846,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257713,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.828405,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.005348,
    "excess_performance": 0.038362,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017691,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043874,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.257713,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008017,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058284,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018114,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005348,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.540898,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 181469,
      "relative_activity": 0.992038,
      "balance": 0.540898,
      "dry_up": 2.465685,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083706,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.361139,
      "from_high_reference": -0.30597,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.138333,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.528846,
      "structural_low": 7.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.00364,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006899,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.233645,
        "worst_return": -0.146873,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.0444,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066778,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.378882,
        "worst_return": -0.146091,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.015962,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00078,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.372671,
        "worst_return": -0.269547,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.077746,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.232456,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.125714,
        "worst_return": -0.281207,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-10-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.15,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.148594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.13253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
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        "return": 0.044828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.050492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.187243,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "return": -0.050373,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.016145,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.072664,
        "active": true
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 9.69,
        "volume": 59473,
        "typical_volume": 142628.95,
        "trend": 9.87,
        "fair_value": 12.672949,
        "relative_strength": -4.981784,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.758224,
        "energy": 15.313493,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.626667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 148216.75,
        "trend": 9.800333,
        "fair_value": 12.648205,
        "relative_strength": -7.639797,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.247609,
        "energy": 14.291385,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 76767,
        "typical_volume": 149674.8,
        "trend": 9.721,
        "fair_value": 12.63,
        "relative_strength": -8.731395,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.308651,
        "energy": 10.22563,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 148391.75,
        "trend": 9.632,
        "fair_value": 12.618205,
        "relative_strength": -9.337126,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.003087,
        "energy": 7.065849,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 151958.95,
        "trend": 9.557667,
        "fair_value": 12.605833,
        "relative_strength": -7.838247,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 14.17926,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 9.16,
        "volume": 2809,
        "typical_volume": 150426.5,
        "trend": 9.480333,
        "fair_value": 12.591474,
        "relative_strength": -6.998842,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.274338,
        "energy": 17.179181,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 35843,
        "typical_volume": 148741.95,
        "trend": 9.406333,
        "fair_value": 12.579808,
        "relative_strength": -9.404944,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 19.670565,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 9.360333,
        "fair_value": 12.569231,
        "relative_strength": -9.119966,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.668907,
        "energy": 20.906793,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 12.558846,
        "relative_strength": -10.511096,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.40927,
        "energy": 29.194493,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 11063,
        "typical_volume": 139980.75,
        "trend": 9.255,
        "fair_value": 12.5525,
        "relative_strength": -11.993927,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.827574,
        "energy": 34.765898,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.157677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 8.9,
        "volume": 33805,
        "typical_volume": 130363.85,
        "trend": 9.221333,
        "fair_value": 12.54641,
        "relative_strength": -10.419377,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.937327,
        "energy": 35.368211,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.914,
          8.998727,
          9.098905,
          9.134774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.67,
        "volume": 103382,
        "typical_volume": 124687.65,
        "trend": 9.187667,
        "fair_value": 12.540769,
        "relative_strength": -12.680976,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.595952,
        "energy": 50.883543,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.822667,
          8.924,
          9.059476,
          9.099204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.56,
        "volume": 965797,
        "typical_volume": 164855.15,
        "trend": 9.147333,
        "fair_value": 12.534103,
        "relative_strength": -11.175666,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.672572,
        "energy": 51.702893,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.715333,
          8.844182,
          9.012286,
          9.05871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.38,
        "volume": 553499,
        "typical_volume": 184095.7,
        "trend": 9.140333,
        "fair_value": 12.532372,
        "relative_strength": -4.714206,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.449509,
        "energy": 17.805292,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.917333,
          8.924364,
          9.045095,
          9.07372
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.3,
        "volume": 181469,
        "typical_volume": 182925.5,
        "trend": 9.138333,
        "fair_value": 12.528846,
        "relative_strength": -5.828405,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.860497,
        "energy": 10.069275,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.062667,
          8.985091,
          9.070714,
          9.084022
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}