{ "ticker": { "uuid": "20fa5681-293d-4d5b-8f5e-a55d3f0646e6", "symbol": "XCEM", "name": "COLUMBIA ETF TR II COLUMBIA EM CORE EX CHINA ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.376, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.347, "architecture_energy": 17.238, "architecture_maturity": 66.558, "architecture_confidence": 82.214, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.56, "rotation_up": 20.33, "upward_expansion": 47.52, "deceleration": 85.0, "rotation_down": 38.01, "downward_expansion": 27.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.455333, 49.446, 49.514619, 48.159441 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 49.56, "trend_reference": 46.340667, "distance_from_trend": 0.069471, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.421088, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.482896, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.679608, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.155784, "excess_performance": 0.030159, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069471, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099978, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.482896, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126824, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.056796, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145841, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.155784, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.774477, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 900730, "relative_activity": 1.003707, "balance": 0.774477, "dry_up": 0.882523, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068196, "annualized_volatility": 0.327323, "from_high_reference": -0.105899, "from_low_reference": 0.511443 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.340667, "fair_value_reference": 33.421088, "structural_low": 38.96, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 51.542667, 51.298182, 49.264238, 47.507634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.73, "volume": 844361, "typical_volume": 1002875.2, "trend": 45.429333, "fair_value": 33.011666, "relative_strength": 6.987874, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.75048, "energy": 24.213729, "activity_lines": [ 50.142667, 50.713273, 49.323143, 47.678817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.7, "volume": 588189, "typical_volume": 926241.25, "trend": 45.749667, "fair_value": 33.140319, "relative_strength": 7.157077, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.99467, "energy": 21.654332, "activity_lines": [ 48.998667, 50.176, 49.368905, 47.825312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.39, "volume": 834637, "typical_volume": 914094.05, "trend": 46.021333, "fair_value": 33.272765, "relative_strength": 4.964776, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.837903, "energy": 19.045314, "activity_lines": [ 48.226, 49.595455, 49.354571, 47.93114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.56, "volume": 900730, "typical_volume": 897403.55, "trend": 46.340667, "fair_value": 33.421088, "relative_strength": 5.679608, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.34705, "energy": 17.238468, "activity_lines": [ 48.455333, 49.446, 49.514619, 48.159441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }