{ "ticker": { "uuid": "20fae473-fcdd-4eac-929a-89d3f32a57da", "symbol": "MU", "name": "Micron Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.464, "architecture_energy": 27.986, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.9, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.28, "rotation_up": 20.09, "upward_expansion": 55.47, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 32.33, "downward_expansion": 21.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 765.673336, 817.078443, 768.507548, 677.656729 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 758.200012, "trend_reference": 563.22916, "distance_from_trend": 0.346166, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 192.35847, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.941599, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 65.207356, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.351396, "excess_performance": 1.177149, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.346166, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.587502, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.941599, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.762401, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.652074, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.797208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.351396, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.430852, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1163, "relative_activity": 0.971961, "balance": 1.430852, "dry_up": 1.204296, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154965, "annualized_volatility": 0.788611, "from_high_reference": -0.270275, "from_low_reference": 6.679672 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 563.22916, "fair_value_reference": 192.35847, "structural_low": 272.299988, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.066759, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.09286, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.700418, "worst_return": -0.080968, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.008846, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.161372, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.389958, "worst_return": -0.082331, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.13101, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.104505, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.180464, "worst_return": -0.128361, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.536069, "energy": 57.116343, "activity_lines": [ 854.342175, 858.272373, 730.167922, 632.052181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 824.299988, "volume": 2121, "typical_volume": 1271.55, "trend": 532.478732, "fair_value": 183.674638, "relative_strength": 95.044804, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.500298, "energy": 41.208608, "activity_lines": [ 830.29502, 857.657424, 750.552151, 652.156831 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 717.200012, "volume": 962, "typical_volume": 1238.5, "trend": 547.672874, "fair_value": 187.870766, "relative_strength": 65.248611, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.553507, "energy": 27.755898, "activity_lines": [ 781.076664, 834.127934, 758.408481, 664.074333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 758.200012, "volume": 1163, "typical_volume": 1196.55, "trend": 563.22916, "fair_value": 192.35847, "relative_strength": 65.207356, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.464283, "energy": 27.986051, "activity_lines": [ 765.673336, 817.078443, 768.507548, 677.656729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }