{ "ticker": { "uuid": "210f8c6c-04a5-4fd8-90a7-9ee2cfab7538", "symbol": "INDUSINDBK", "name": "IndusInd Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.946, "architecture_energy": 75.294, "architecture_maturity": 23.492, "architecture_confidence": 90.426, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.62, "rotation_up": 72.51, "upward_expansion": 92.54, "deceleration": 43.95, "rotation_down": 13.84, "downward_expansion": 16.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 1013.88999, 994.254057, 957.087054, 932.894424 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1022.0, "trend_reference": 913.603251, "distance_from_trend": 0.118648, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1107.509518, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.077209, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.773743, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.131031, "excess_performance": 0.174741, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118648, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045124, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.077209, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089021, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.187737, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008314, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131031, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.187876, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5472236, "relative_activity": 0.545648, "balance": 2.187876, "dry_up": 1.037878, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044704, "annualized_volatility": 0.300823, "from_high_reference": -0.051816, "from_low_reference": 0.438221 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 913.603251, "fair_value_reference": 1107.509518, "structural_low": 750.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.005696, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": 0.012744, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.154284, "worst_return": -0.209086, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.06146, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.000194, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.251252, "worst_return": -0.214705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.04834, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.03788, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.195434, "worst_return": -0.108806, "sufficient": true }, { 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962.741352, 926.451783, 912.684194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 996.049988, "volume": 21380594, "typical_volume": 11732643.65, "trend": 905.359918, "fair_value": 1112.278948, "relative_strength": 20.931413, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.288943, "energy": 77.455963, "activity_lines": [ 1000.273311, 972.78794, 935.955603, 918.849575 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1010.0, "volume": 8708129, "typical_volume": 10978714.45, "trend": 908.944918, "fair_value": 1109.816623, "relative_strength": 18.898438, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.716474, "energy": 79.269737, "activity_lines": [ 1008.11665, 983.351196, 946.415614, 925.600548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1022.0, "volume": 5472236, "typical_volume": 10028878.4, "trend": 913.603251, "fair_value": 1107.509518, "relative_strength": 18.773743, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.945878, "energy": 75.294347, "activity_lines": [ 1013.88999, 994.254057, 957.087054, 932.894424 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }